Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 07 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-089756Daily Model Output (20170607)
2017-06-0910148
2017-06-109870
2017-06-119226
2017-06-128197
2017-06-137442
2017-06-146680
2017-06-155786
2017-06-164988
2017-06-174483
2017-06-184300ESP Model Output (20170606)
2017-06-194088
2017-06-203966
2017-06-213808
2017-06-223551
2017-06-233369
2017-06-243093
2017-06-252884
2017-06-262826
2017-06-272660
2017-06-282454
2017-06-292292
2017-06-302090
2017-07-011936
2017-07-021809
2017-07-031686
2017-07-041503
2017-07-051408
2017-07-061334
2017-07-071218
2017-07-081153
2017-07-091066
2017-07-101002
2017-07-11939
2017-07-12898
2017-07-13866
2017-07-14821
2017-07-15788
2017-07-16757
2017-07-17707
2017-07-18676
2017-07-19645
2017-07-20626
2017-07-21593
2017-07-22566
2017-07-23552
2017-07-24538
2017-07-25512
2017-07-26499
2017-07-27479
2017-07-28465
2017-07-29459
2017-07-30439
2017-07-31429
2017-08-01421
2017-08-02413
2017-08-03409
2017-08-04400
2017-08-05391
2017-08-06388
2017-08-07383
2017-08-08376
2017-08-09373
2017-08-10365
2017-08-11364
2017-08-12358
2017-08-13356
2017-08-14350
2017-08-15349
2017-08-16344
2017-08-17342
2017-08-18341
2017-08-19335
2017-08-20331
2017-08-21330
2017-08-22321
2017-08-23335
2017-08-24337
2017-08-25334
2017-08-26327
2017-08-27322
2017-08-28316
2017-08-29311
2017-08-30305
2017-08-31300
2017-09-01296
2017-09-02293
2017-09-03289
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06273
2017-09-07273
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09259
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13252
2017-09-14248
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18234
2017-09-19233
2017-09-20241
2017-09-21247
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24265
2017-09-25269
2017-09-26269
2017-09-27272
2017-09-28274
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30275



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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