Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 08 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-0910176Daily Model Output (20170608)
2017-06-109994
2017-06-119562
2017-06-128670
2017-06-138006
2017-06-147390
2017-06-156760
2017-06-165653
2017-06-174923
2017-06-184554
2017-06-194067ESP Model Output (20170607)
2017-06-203934
2017-06-213811
2017-06-223565
2017-06-233374
2017-06-243089
2017-06-252945
2017-06-262809
2017-06-272639
2017-06-282431
2017-06-292241
2017-06-302075
2017-07-011907
2017-07-021782
2017-07-031653
2017-07-041461
2017-07-051387
2017-07-061333
2017-07-071212
2017-07-081140
2017-07-091047
2017-07-10996
2017-07-11935
2017-07-12898
2017-07-13862
2017-07-14809
2017-07-15789
2017-07-16757
2017-07-17703
2017-07-18670
2017-07-19637
2017-07-20618
2017-07-21590
2017-07-22566
2017-07-23552
2017-07-24538
2017-07-25513
2017-07-26494
2017-07-27474
2017-07-28465
2017-07-29455
2017-07-30435
2017-07-31429
2017-08-01417
2017-08-02409
2017-08-03408
2017-08-04396
2017-08-05390
2017-08-06386
2017-08-07381
2017-08-08376
2017-08-09372
2017-08-10366
2017-08-11364
2017-08-12357
2017-08-13356
2017-08-14350
2017-08-15349
2017-08-16343
2017-08-17343
2017-08-18341
2017-08-19335
2017-08-20331
2017-08-21330
2017-08-22321
2017-08-23335
2017-08-24337
2017-08-25333
2017-08-26327
2017-08-27323
2017-08-28315
2017-08-29311
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31300
2017-09-01297
2017-09-02293
2017-09-03289
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05280
2017-09-06273
2017-09-07272
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09260
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14248
2017-09-15246
2017-09-16243
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18234
2017-09-19233
2017-09-20241
2017-09-21246
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24266
2017-09-25270
2017-09-26270
2017-09-27273
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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