Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 09 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-109872Daily Model Output (20170609)
2017-06-119852
2017-06-129226
2017-06-138128
2017-06-147420
2017-06-156716
2017-06-165625
2017-06-174919
2017-06-184600
2017-06-194303
2017-06-204008ESP Model Output (20170608)
2017-06-213880
2017-06-223694
2017-06-233415
2017-06-243153
2017-06-252943
2017-06-262814
2017-06-272627
2017-06-282432
2017-06-292235
2017-06-302051
2017-07-011881
2017-07-021758
2017-07-031626
2017-07-041421
2017-07-051351
2017-07-061290
2017-07-071185
2017-07-081099
2017-07-091021
2017-07-10957
2017-07-11908
2017-07-12884
2017-07-13848
2017-07-14803
2017-07-15785
2017-07-16739
2017-07-17695
2017-07-18660
2017-07-19636
2017-07-20610
2017-07-21583
2017-07-22555
2017-07-23537
2017-07-24527
2017-07-25512
2017-07-26490
2017-07-27470
2017-07-28458
2017-07-29448
2017-07-30433
2017-07-31425
2017-08-01412
2017-08-02404
2017-08-03407
2017-08-04395
2017-08-05389
2017-08-06385
2017-08-07380
2017-08-08373
2017-08-09370
2017-08-10361
2017-08-11362
2017-08-12356
2017-08-13356
2017-08-14350
2017-08-15349
2017-08-16342
2017-08-17342
2017-08-18340
2017-08-19335
2017-08-20331
2017-08-21328
2017-08-22320
2017-08-23335
2017-08-24336
2017-08-25333
2017-08-26327
2017-08-27322
2017-08-28315
2017-08-29310
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31300
2017-09-01296
2017-09-02293
2017-09-03289
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05280
2017-09-06273
2017-09-07272
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09260
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14249
2017-09-15246
2017-09-16243
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18234
2017-09-19233
2017-09-20241
2017-09-21245
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24266
2017-09-25270
2017-09-26270
2017-09-27273
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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