Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 10 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-1110014Daily Model Output (20170610)
2017-06-129721
2017-06-139217
2017-06-147863
2017-06-156828
2017-06-165725
2017-06-175027
2017-06-184690
2017-06-194518
2017-06-204402
2017-06-213517ESP Model Output (20170609)
2017-06-223451
2017-06-233332
2017-06-243127
2017-06-252921
2017-06-262799
2017-06-272632
2017-06-282452
2017-06-292258
2017-06-302086
2017-07-011908
2017-07-021760
2017-07-031657
2017-07-041458
2017-07-051371
2017-07-061299
2017-07-071204
2017-07-081129
2017-07-091046
2017-07-10978
2017-07-11925
2017-07-12886
2017-07-13856
2017-07-14810
2017-07-15772
2017-07-16740
2017-07-17704
2017-07-18666
2017-07-19641
2017-07-20613
2017-07-21584
2017-07-22559
2017-07-23537
2017-07-24519
2017-07-25503
2017-07-26490
2017-07-27473
2017-07-28460
2017-07-29447
2017-07-30433
2017-07-31423
2017-08-01413
2017-08-02404
2017-08-03406
2017-08-04396
2017-08-05390
2017-08-06385
2017-08-07380
2017-08-08374
2017-08-09371
2017-08-10361
2017-08-11362
2017-08-12357
2017-08-13356
2017-08-14350
2017-08-15348
2017-08-16343
2017-08-17342
2017-08-18340
2017-08-19335
2017-08-20331
2017-08-21328
2017-08-22321
2017-08-23335
2017-08-24336
2017-08-25333
2017-08-26327
2017-08-27322
2017-08-28315
2017-08-29310
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31300
2017-09-01296
2017-09-02294
2017-09-03289
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06273
2017-09-07272
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09259
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14249
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16243
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18234
2017-09-19233
2017-09-20242
2017-09-21245
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24266
2017-09-25270
2017-09-26270
2017-09-27273
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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