Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 11 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-129796Daily Model Output (20170611)
2017-06-139830
2017-06-149523
2017-06-158030
2017-06-166184
2017-06-175293
2017-06-184873
2017-06-194664
2017-06-204542
2017-06-214400
2017-06-223770ESP Model Output (20170610)
2017-06-233506
2017-06-243263
2017-06-252989
2017-06-262827
2017-06-272657
2017-06-282467
2017-06-292276
2017-06-302084
2017-07-011907
2017-07-021763
2017-07-031628
2017-07-041419
2017-07-051343
2017-07-061277
2017-07-071191
2017-07-081110
2017-07-091038
2017-07-10969
2017-07-11921
2017-07-12888
2017-07-13852
2017-07-14809
2017-07-15769
2017-07-16735
2017-07-17699
2017-07-18667
2017-07-19638
2017-07-20614
2017-07-21586
2017-07-22561
2017-07-23541
2017-07-24521
2017-07-25502
2017-07-26494
2017-07-27474
2017-07-28462
2017-07-29450
2017-07-30435
2017-07-31426
2017-08-01414
2017-08-02407
2017-08-03409
2017-08-04399
2017-08-05391
2017-08-06386
2017-08-07381
2017-08-08374
2017-08-09371
2017-08-10361
2017-08-11362
2017-08-12358
2017-08-13357
2017-08-14351
2017-08-15349
2017-08-16344
2017-08-17343
2017-08-18341
2017-08-19336
2017-08-20331
2017-08-21328
2017-08-22321
2017-08-23335
2017-08-24336
2017-08-25332
2017-08-26328
2017-08-27323
2017-08-28315
2017-08-29311
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31300
2017-09-01297
2017-09-02294
2017-09-03290
2017-09-04288
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06274
2017-09-07272
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09259
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14249
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16243
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18234
2017-09-19233
2017-09-20242
2017-09-21243
2017-09-22269
2017-09-23267
2017-09-24266
2017-09-25270
2017-09-26270
2017-09-27273
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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