Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 12 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-139992Daily Model Output (20170612)
2017-06-149418
2017-06-158311
2017-06-166398
2017-06-175391
2017-06-184949
2017-06-194713
2017-06-204538
2017-06-214371
2017-06-224152
2017-06-233662ESP Model Output (20170611)
2017-06-243353
2017-06-253116
2017-06-262916
2017-06-272722
2017-06-282537
2017-06-292343
2017-06-302169
2017-07-011975
2017-07-021814
2017-07-031676
2017-07-041482
2017-07-051381
2017-07-061331
2017-07-071236
2017-07-081164
2017-07-091080
2017-07-101009
2017-07-11956
2017-07-12913
2017-07-13874
2017-07-14829
2017-07-15788
2017-07-16761
2017-07-17723
2017-07-18688
2017-07-19662
2017-07-20631
2017-07-21602
2017-07-22576
2017-07-23556
2017-07-24538
2017-07-25519
2017-07-26502
2017-07-27482
2017-07-28469
2017-07-29457
2017-07-30442
2017-07-31432
2017-08-01420
2017-08-02412
2017-08-03415
2017-08-04404
2017-08-05396
2017-08-06391
2017-08-07385
2017-08-08378
2017-08-09375
2017-08-10366
2017-08-11365
2017-08-12362
2017-08-13359
2017-08-14353
2017-08-15351
2017-08-16346
2017-08-17345
2017-08-18342
2017-08-19337
2017-08-20332
2017-08-21329
2017-08-22321
2017-08-23336
2017-08-24336
2017-08-25333
2017-08-26329
2017-08-27324
2017-08-28316
2017-08-29311
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31301
2017-09-01297
2017-09-02294
2017-09-03290
2017-09-04289
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06274
2017-09-07273
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09260
2017-09-10261
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14249
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16243
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18234
2017-09-19234
2017-09-20242
2017-09-21242
2017-09-22269
2017-09-23267
2017-09-24266
2017-09-25270
2017-09-26270
2017-09-27273
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29276
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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