Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 13 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-149145Daily Model Output (20170613)
2017-06-158324
2017-06-166542
2017-06-175491
2017-06-185166
2017-06-194898
2017-06-204598
2017-06-214421
2017-06-224237
2017-06-234054
2017-06-243386ESP Model Output (20170612)
2017-06-253147
2017-06-262942
2017-06-272748
2017-06-282553
2017-06-292374
2017-06-302186
2017-07-011997
2017-07-021826
2017-07-031691
2017-07-041491
2017-07-051389
2017-07-061336
2017-07-071236
2017-07-081141
2017-07-091082
2017-07-101011
2017-07-11959
2017-07-12920
2017-07-13875
2017-07-14830
2017-07-15788
2017-07-16765
2017-07-17723
2017-07-18692
2017-07-19665
2017-07-20631
2017-07-21603
2017-07-22577
2017-07-23558
2017-07-24540
2017-07-25521
2017-07-26502
2017-07-27482
2017-07-28470
2017-07-29458
2017-07-30443
2017-07-31434
2017-08-01421
2017-08-02414
2017-08-03417
2017-08-04405
2017-08-05397
2017-08-06391
2017-08-07385
2017-08-08380
2017-08-09376
2017-08-10366
2017-08-11365
2017-08-12362
2017-08-13359
2017-08-14353
2017-08-15351
2017-08-16346
2017-08-17345
2017-08-18343
2017-08-19338
2017-08-20332
2017-08-21330
2017-08-22322
2017-08-23337
2017-08-24337
2017-08-25334
2017-08-26329
2017-08-27324
2017-08-28316
2017-08-29312
2017-08-30307
2017-08-31301
2017-09-01298
2017-09-02294
2017-09-03291
2017-09-04289
2017-09-05282
2017-09-06274
2017-09-07273
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09260
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14249
2017-09-15246
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18235
2017-09-19234
2017-09-20238
2017-09-21241
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24267
2017-09-25270
2017-09-26271
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28276
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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