Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 14 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-158057Daily Model Output (20170614)
2017-06-166632
2017-06-175526
2017-06-185208
2017-06-195069
2017-06-204741
2017-06-214419
2017-06-224269
2017-06-234128
2017-06-243926
2017-06-253299ESP Model Output (20170613)
2017-06-263007
2017-06-272709
2017-06-282475
2017-06-292295
2017-06-302098
2017-07-011917
2017-07-021757
2017-07-031612
2017-07-041412
2017-07-051311
2017-07-061260
2017-07-071173
2017-07-081094
2017-07-091026
2017-07-10963
2017-07-11928
2017-07-12889
2017-07-13846
2017-07-14805
2017-07-15766
2017-07-16732
2017-07-17701
2017-07-18668
2017-07-19638
2017-07-20613
2017-07-21586
2017-07-22564
2017-07-23543
2017-07-24524
2017-07-25504
2017-07-26487
2017-07-27470
2017-07-28463
2017-07-29448
2017-07-30437
2017-07-31429
2017-08-01417
2017-08-02411
2017-08-03412
2017-08-04401
2017-08-05393
2017-08-06387
2017-08-07380
2017-08-08377
2017-08-09371
2017-08-10363
2017-08-11362
2017-08-12358
2017-08-13357
2017-08-14350
2017-08-15349
2017-08-16344
2017-08-17344
2017-08-18341
2017-08-19336
2017-08-20330
2017-08-21327
2017-08-22320
2017-08-23335
2017-08-24337
2017-08-25333
2017-08-26329
2017-08-27323
2017-08-28316
2017-08-29311
2017-08-30304
2017-08-31301
2017-09-01297
2017-09-02293
2017-09-03290
2017-09-04286
2017-09-05280
2017-09-06274
2017-09-07273
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09260
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14249
2017-09-15246
2017-09-16241
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18235
2017-09-19231
2017-09-20238
2017-09-21241
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24266
2017-09-25270
2017-09-26271
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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