Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 15 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-166188Daily Model Output (20170615)
2017-06-175788
2017-06-185642
2017-06-195448
2017-06-205148
2017-06-214862
2017-06-224768
2017-06-234678
2017-06-244355
2017-06-254021
2017-06-263221ESP Model Output (20170614)
2017-06-272940
2017-06-282695
2017-06-292513
2017-06-302295
2017-07-012104
2017-07-021928
2017-07-031789
2017-07-041550
2017-07-051439
2017-07-061386
2017-07-071275
2017-07-081182
2017-07-091104
2017-07-101038
2017-07-111003
2017-07-12953
2017-07-13905
2017-07-14862
2017-07-15811
2017-07-16777
2017-07-17740
2017-07-18705
2017-07-19685
2017-07-20652
2017-07-21625
2017-07-22592
2017-07-23568
2017-07-24558
2017-07-25532
2017-07-26515
2017-07-27494
2017-07-28480
2017-07-29467
2017-07-30454
2017-07-31443
2017-08-01431
2017-08-02422
2017-08-03422
2017-08-04411
2017-08-05402
2017-08-06396
2017-08-07387
2017-08-08383
2017-08-09380
2017-08-10369
2017-08-11367
2017-08-12365
2017-08-13362
2017-08-14355
2017-08-15353
2017-08-16349
2017-08-17348
2017-08-18343
2017-08-19340
2017-08-20333
2017-08-21330
2017-08-22323
2017-08-23337
2017-08-24338
2017-08-25335
2017-08-26330
2017-08-27326
2017-08-28317
2017-08-29312
2017-08-30305
2017-08-31302
2017-09-01298
2017-09-02294
2017-09-03291
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05280
2017-09-06274
2017-09-07273
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09260
2017-09-10261
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18235
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20238
2017-09-21241
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24267
2017-09-25270
2017-09-26271
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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