Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 16 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-175871Daily Model Output (20170616)
2017-06-185741
2017-06-195650
2017-06-205350
2017-06-214974
2017-06-224763
2017-06-234646
2017-06-244398
2017-06-254049
2017-06-263647
2017-06-273131ESP Model Output (20170615)
2017-06-282805
2017-06-292551
2017-06-302295
2017-07-012106
2017-07-021917
2017-07-031779
2017-07-041537
2017-07-051436
2017-07-061384
2017-07-071277
2017-07-081190
2017-07-091116
2017-07-101049
2017-07-111000
2017-07-12958
2017-07-13912
2017-07-14863
2017-07-15816
2017-07-16786
2017-07-17747
2017-07-18715
2017-07-19685
2017-07-20652
2017-07-21625
2017-07-22601
2017-07-23576
2017-07-24555
2017-07-25534
2017-07-26513
2017-07-27494
2017-07-28484
2017-07-29469
2017-07-30457
2017-07-31448
2017-08-01433
2017-08-02422
2017-08-03423
2017-08-04413
2017-08-05404
2017-08-06398
2017-08-07390
2017-08-08386
2017-08-09381
2017-08-10371
2017-08-11369
2017-08-12366
2017-08-13363
2017-08-14356
2017-08-15353
2017-08-16350
2017-08-17349
2017-08-18344
2017-08-19341
2017-08-20333
2017-08-21331
2017-08-22323
2017-08-23338
2017-08-24339
2017-08-25336
2017-08-26331
2017-08-27326
2017-08-28318
2017-08-29313
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31303
2017-09-01299
2017-09-02294
2017-09-03291
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06275
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08266
2017-09-09261
2017-09-10261
2017-09-11258
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18235
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20238
2017-09-21242
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24267
2017-09-25271
2017-09-26271
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30277



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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