Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 17 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-185546Daily Model Output (20170617)
2017-06-195703
2017-06-205397
2017-06-214726
2017-06-224518
2017-06-234427
2017-06-244243
2017-06-253962
2017-06-263626
2017-06-273289
2017-06-282653ESP Model Output (20170616)
2017-06-292483
2017-06-302299
2017-07-012132
2017-07-021969
2017-07-031821
2017-07-041584
2017-07-051481
2017-07-061424
2017-07-071312
2017-07-081220
2017-07-091135
2017-07-101069
2017-07-111011
2017-07-12971
2017-07-13922
2017-07-14883
2017-07-15828
2017-07-16796
2017-07-17757
2017-07-18720
2017-07-19702
2017-07-20658
2017-07-21632
2017-07-22607
2017-07-23580
2017-07-24559
2017-07-25540
2017-07-26519
2017-07-27500
2017-07-28486
2017-07-29473
2017-07-30461
2017-07-31450
2017-08-01437
2017-08-02426
2017-08-03424
2017-08-04416
2017-08-05407
2017-08-06398
2017-08-07391
2017-08-08387
2017-08-09383
2017-08-10372
2017-08-11370
2017-08-12368
2017-08-13364
2017-08-14357
2017-08-15354
2017-08-16351
2017-08-17349
2017-08-18345
2017-08-19342
2017-08-20334
2017-08-21331
2017-08-22324
2017-08-23338
2017-08-24340
2017-08-25337
2017-08-26332
2017-08-27327
2017-08-28318
2017-08-29313
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31303
2017-09-01299
2017-09-02295
2017-09-03291
2017-09-04288
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06275
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08266
2017-09-09261
2017-09-10261
2017-09-11258
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18235
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20238
2017-09-21242
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23269
2017-09-24267
2017-09-25271
2017-09-26272
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30277



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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