Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 18 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-195926Daily Model Output (20170618)
2017-06-205894
2017-06-215545
2017-06-224982
2017-06-234740
2017-06-244347
2017-06-253976
2017-06-263578
2017-06-273128
2017-06-282816
2017-06-292525ESP Model Output (20170617)
2017-06-302305
2017-07-012139
2017-07-021964
2017-07-031815
2017-07-041578
2017-07-051473
2017-07-061410
2017-07-071300
2017-07-081215
2017-07-091130
2017-07-101062
2017-07-111004
2017-07-12961
2017-07-13921
2017-07-14874
2017-07-15817
2017-07-16789
2017-07-17753
2017-07-18720
2017-07-19694
2017-07-20658
2017-07-21627
2017-07-22606
2017-07-23580
2017-07-24558
2017-07-25536
2017-07-26515
2017-07-27497
2017-07-28483
2017-07-29471
2017-07-30459
2017-07-31450
2017-08-01437
2017-08-02424
2017-08-03420
2017-08-04416
2017-08-05406
2017-08-06399
2017-08-07391
2017-08-08387
2017-08-09383
2017-08-10372
2017-08-11369
2017-08-12367
2017-08-13364
2017-08-14357
2017-08-15353
2017-08-16350
2017-08-17349
2017-08-18345
2017-08-19341
2017-08-20334
2017-08-21331
2017-08-22324
2017-08-23338
2017-08-24340
2017-08-25336
2017-08-26332
2017-08-27327
2017-08-28318
2017-08-29313
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31302
2017-09-01299
2017-09-02295
2017-09-03291
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06275
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08266
2017-09-09261
2017-09-10261
2017-09-11258
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18235
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20238
2017-09-21242
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24267
2017-09-25271
2017-09-26272
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30277



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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