Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 20 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-215384Daily Model Output (20170620)
2017-06-224870
2017-06-234845
2017-06-244383
2017-06-253899
2017-06-263450
2017-06-273021
2017-06-282730
2017-06-292525
2017-06-302337
2017-07-012016ESP Model Output (20170619)
2017-07-021856
2017-07-031741
2017-07-041524
2017-07-051414
2017-07-061354
2017-07-071252
2017-07-081164
2017-07-091095
2017-07-101030
2017-07-11979
2017-07-12933
2017-07-13887
2017-07-14842
2017-07-15793
2017-07-16762
2017-07-17729
2017-07-18701
2017-07-19671
2017-07-20645
2017-07-21616
2017-07-22589
2017-07-23568
2017-07-24546
2017-07-25527
2017-07-26504
2017-07-27484
2017-07-28474
2017-07-29463
2017-07-30452
2017-07-31444
2017-08-01429
2017-08-02419
2017-08-03411
2017-08-04410
2017-08-05400
2017-08-06394
2017-08-07387
2017-08-08383
2017-08-09378
2017-08-10369
2017-08-11365
2017-08-12364
2017-08-13360
2017-08-14354
2017-08-15351
2017-08-16347
2017-08-17348
2017-08-18343
2017-08-19338
2017-08-20332
2017-08-21329
2017-08-22322
2017-08-23337
2017-08-24338
2017-08-25335
2017-08-26331
2017-08-27326
2017-08-28317
2017-08-29312
2017-08-30305
2017-08-31302
2017-09-01299
2017-09-02294
2017-09-03290
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06274
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08266
2017-09-09261
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18235
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20238
2017-09-21242
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24267
2017-09-25271
2017-09-26271
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
download csv