Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 22 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-234928Daily Model Output (20170622)
2017-06-244690
2017-06-254243
2017-06-263538
2017-06-273195
2017-06-282960
2017-06-292801
2017-06-302642
2017-07-012441
2017-07-022226
2017-07-031872ESP Model Output (20170621)
2017-07-041631
2017-07-051496
2017-07-061419
2017-07-071308
2017-07-081213
2017-07-091136
2017-07-101073
2017-07-111015
2017-07-12959
2017-07-13909
2017-07-14865
2017-07-15820
2017-07-16792
2017-07-17757
2017-07-18722
2017-07-19692
2017-07-20659
2017-07-21632
2017-07-22603
2017-07-23580
2017-07-24558
2017-07-25538
2017-07-26515
2017-07-27496
2017-07-28484
2017-07-29473
2017-07-30461
2017-07-31452
2017-08-01436
2017-08-02426
2017-08-03416
2017-08-04415
2017-08-05404
2017-08-06399
2017-08-07392
2017-08-08387
2017-08-09381
2017-08-10372
2017-08-11368
2017-08-12366
2017-08-13363
2017-08-14357
2017-08-15353
2017-08-16348
2017-08-17350
2017-08-18345
2017-08-19339
2017-08-20333
2017-08-21331
2017-08-22324
2017-08-23338
2017-08-24340
2017-08-25336
2017-08-26332
2017-08-27326
2017-08-28318
2017-08-29313
2017-08-30306
2017-08-31303
2017-09-01299
2017-09-02295
2017-09-03291
2017-09-04288
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06275
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08266
2017-09-09261
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11257
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18236
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20239
2017-09-21242
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23269
2017-09-24268
2017-09-25271
2017-09-26272
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30277



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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