Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 24 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-254336Daily Model Output (20170624)
2017-06-263696
2017-06-273342
2017-06-283054
2017-06-292872
2017-06-302687
2017-07-012469
2017-07-022240
2017-07-032073
2017-07-041936
2017-07-051809ESP Model Output (20170623)
2017-07-061706
2017-07-071558
2017-07-081432
2017-07-091334
2017-07-101236
2017-07-111155
2017-07-121087
2017-07-131023
2017-07-14977
2017-07-15925
2017-07-16882
2017-07-17840
2017-07-18801
2017-07-19758
2017-07-20723
2017-07-21689
2017-07-22657
2017-07-23628
2017-07-24604
2017-07-25578
2017-07-26557
2017-07-27536
2017-07-28519
2017-07-29504
2017-07-30490
2017-07-31478
2017-08-01465
2017-08-02450
2017-08-03444
2017-08-04434
2017-08-05420
2017-08-06416
2017-08-07409
2017-08-08399
2017-08-09396
2017-08-10387
2017-08-11382
2017-08-12378
2017-08-13373
2017-08-14366
2017-08-15361
2017-08-16357
2017-08-17356
2017-08-18351
2017-08-19344
2017-08-20339
2017-08-21337
2017-08-22329
2017-08-23343
2017-08-24343
2017-08-25340
2017-08-26335
2017-08-27330
2017-08-28321
2017-08-29316
2017-08-30308
2017-08-31305
2017-09-01301
2017-09-02297
2017-09-03292
2017-09-04289
2017-09-05282
2017-09-06276
2017-09-07275
2017-09-08267
2017-09-09262
2017-09-10261
2017-09-11259
2017-09-12259
2017-09-13254
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16243
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20240
2017-09-21242
2017-09-22271
2017-09-23269
2017-09-24269
2017-09-25272
2017-09-26273
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28276
2017-09-29278
2017-09-30277



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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