Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 26 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-273062Daily Model Output (20170626)
2017-06-282635
2017-06-292537
2017-06-302436
2017-07-012282
2017-07-022123
2017-07-031977
2017-07-041860
2017-07-051752
2017-07-061636
2017-07-071580ESP Model Output (20170625)
2017-07-081469
2017-07-091376
2017-07-101274
2017-07-111182
2017-07-121110
2017-07-131038
2017-07-14994
2017-07-15932
2017-07-16890
2017-07-17847
2017-07-18809
2017-07-19766
2017-07-20728
2017-07-21695
2017-07-22663
2017-07-23636
2017-07-24610
2017-07-25584
2017-07-26563
2017-07-27542
2017-07-28527
2017-07-29511
2017-07-30495
2017-07-31482
2017-08-01469
2017-08-02453
2017-08-03444
2017-08-04436
2017-08-05420
2017-08-06419
2017-08-07412
2017-08-08403
2017-08-09396
2017-08-10391
2017-08-11381
2017-08-12378
2017-08-13374
2017-08-14368
2017-08-15363
2017-08-16360
2017-08-17357
2017-08-18352
2017-08-19346
2017-08-20340
2017-08-21338
2017-08-22330
2017-08-23344
2017-08-24343
2017-08-25341
2017-08-26335
2017-08-27330
2017-08-28321
2017-08-29316
2017-08-30309
2017-08-31305
2017-09-01301
2017-09-02297
2017-09-03293
2017-09-04288
2017-09-05283
2017-09-06276
2017-09-07275
2017-09-08267
2017-09-09261
2017-09-10262
2017-09-11259
2017-09-12260
2017-09-13254
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16243
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19233
2017-09-20240
2017-09-21242
2017-09-22271
2017-09-23270
2017-09-24269
2017-09-25272
2017-09-26273
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28276
2017-09-29278
2017-09-30277



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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