Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: July 03 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-07-041449Daily Model Output (20170703)
2017-07-051353
2017-07-061292
2017-07-071214
2017-07-081151
2017-07-091087
2017-07-101035
2017-07-11982
2017-07-12926
2017-07-13879
2017-07-14918ESP Model Output (20170702)
2017-07-15875
2017-07-16838
2017-07-17804
2017-07-18768
2017-07-19733
2017-07-20698
2017-07-21666
2017-07-22634
2017-07-23608
2017-07-24585
2017-07-25561
2017-07-26541
2017-07-27522
2017-07-28506
2017-07-29493
2017-07-30481
2017-07-31470
2017-08-01454
2017-08-02441
2017-08-03429
2017-08-04420
2017-08-05412
2017-08-06406
2017-08-07400
2017-08-08395
2017-08-09390
2017-08-10381
2017-08-11376
2017-08-12372
2017-08-13369
2017-08-14363
2017-08-15356
2017-08-16353
2017-08-17350
2017-08-18348
2017-08-19340
2017-08-20336
2017-08-21334
2017-08-22327
2017-08-23341
2017-08-24342
2017-08-25338
2017-08-26333
2017-08-27328
2017-08-28320
2017-08-29315
2017-08-30307
2017-08-31304
2017-09-01300
2017-09-02296
2017-09-03292
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05282
2017-09-06276
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08266
2017-09-09261
2017-09-10261
2017-09-11258
2017-09-12259
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15246
2017-09-16243
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20239
2017-09-21241
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23269
2017-09-24269
2017-09-25271
2017-09-26273
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28274
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30277



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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