SLCESGCO COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECASTCENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UTAH April 11, 2016 Seasonal outlook for maximum flows: ANIMAS - DURANGO Comments: # ESP Forecast Information # # Analysis Period: 2016-04-10 - 2016-08-01 (MST) # Forecast Parameters: River Discharge # Forecast Interval: 2016-04-10 - 2016-08-01 (MST) # Forecast Point: ANIMAS - DURANGO Daily Peak -- Seasonal Maximum # # ANIMAS - DURANGO # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 Units # -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # 2456 2722 2905 2993 3164 3426 3620 3777 4152 CFSD Number of Days to Peak from: 2016-04-10 # # ANIMAS - DURANGO # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 Units # -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # 34 37 44 49 52 57 61 66 76 DAYS 1-week Seasonal Peak Flow: # ESP Forecast Information # # Analysis Period: 2016-04-10 - 2016-08-01 (MST) # Forecast Parameters: River River Flow (Mean Daily) - (CFSD) # Forecast Interval: 1 week # Forecast Point: ANIMAS - DURANGO # # ANIMAS - DURANGO # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 Units # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Interval: 2016-04-10 - 2016-04-16 945 945 945 962 963 963 963 964 969 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-11 - 2016-04-17 945 945 945 962 963 963 963 964 969 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-12 - 2016-04-18 945 945 945 962 963 963 963 964 969 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-13 - 2016-04-19 945 945 945 962 963 963 963 964 969 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-14 - 2016-04-20 945 945 945 962 963 963 963 964 969 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-15 - 2016-04-21 945 945 950 962 963 963 964 966 1050 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-16 - 2016-04-22 945 945 962 963 963 963 968 1032 1149 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-17 - 2016-04-23 863 865 909 910 916 923 971 1074 1431 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-18 - 2016-04-24 744 759 804 820 865 938 991 1196 1512 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-19 - 2016-04-25 745 793 858 870 936 950 1042 1388 1534 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-20 - 2016-04-26 762 865 897 950 1012 1117 1176 1447 1534 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-21 - 2016-04-27 779 869 942 962 1091 1174 1247 1475 1615 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-22 - 2016-04-28 839 884 942 971 1071 1310 1504 1534 1670 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-23 - 2016-04-29 837 909 1021 1086 1202 1382 1496 1669 1935 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-24 - 2016-04-30 841 950 1081 1185 1301 1447 1531 1692 1962 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-25 - 2016-05-01 858 971 1143 1244 1392 1493 1541 1824 2061 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-26 - 2016-05-02 883 1075 1185 1241 1335 1459 1595 1859 2210 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-27 - 2016-05-03 849 1060 1152 1244 1380 1485 1825 1938 2511 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-28 - 2016-05-04 849 1021 1215 1319 1486 1585 1856 2093 2513 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-29 - 2016-05-05 878 993 1239 1355 1606 1791 1878 2341 2587 CFSD # Interval: 2016-04-30 - 2016-05-06 959 1083 1290 1453 1674 1834 1936 2483 2715 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-01 - 2016-05-07 1061 1271 1324 1507 1762 2042 2299 2579 2794 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-02 - 2016-05-08 971 1147 1320 1595 1762 2204 2407 2579 2979 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-03 - 2016-05-09 970 1157 1387 1633 1712 2205 2501 2594 2979 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-04 - 2016-05-10 970 1157 1387 1595 1808 2271 2564 2700 2884 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-05 - 2016-05-11 1059 1300 1435 1614 1861 2186 2464 2594 2983 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-06 - 2016-05-12 1208 1400 1550 1622 1884 2183 2298 2575 2836 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-07 - 2016-05-13 1340 1435 1595 1675 2005 2216 2301 2645 2894 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-08 - 2016-05-14 1236 1419 1500 1700 2095 2233 2569 2746 2990 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-09 - 2016-05-15 1352 1460 1656 1865 2153 2278 2575 2837 3147 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-10 - 2016-05-16 1352 1450 1765 1986 2278 2327 2529 2837 3147 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-11 - 2016-05-17 1352 1621 1884 2044 2308 2450 2588 2837 3147 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-12 - 2016-05-18 1210 1624 1884 2017 2252 2416 2665 2786 3147 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-13 - 2016-05-19 1488 1624 1929 2042 2198 2403 2666 2860 3159 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-14 - 2016-05-20 1495 1896 1966 2111 2268 2403 2666 2860 3159 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-15 - 2016-05-21 1534 1919 2114 2229 2434 2623 2697 2860 3159 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-16 - 2016-05-22 1723 1919 2129 2325 2513 2701 2841 3039 3187 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-17 - 2016-05-23 1784 1996 2136 2358 2515 2754 2893 3035 3229 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-18 - 2016-05-24 1805 2061 2228 2480 2633 2688 2886 3035 3413 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-19 - 2016-05-25 1805 2061 2285 2467 2610 2828 2967 3041 3566 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-20 - 2016-05-26 1794 2062 2302 2480 2671 2766 2885 3075 3642 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-21 - 2016-05-27 1869 2067 2299 2509 2683 2780 2892 3075 3642 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-22 - 2016-05-28 2053 2229 2317 2487 2597 2725 2961 3116 3642 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-23 - 2016-05-29 1965 2219 2342 2451 2598 2814 2898 3100 3642 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-24 - 2016-05-30 2006 2261 2303 2484 2637 2859 2983 3204 3713 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-25 - 2016-05-31 1931 2262 2333 2438 2585 2885 3080 3216 3713 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-26 - 2016-06-01 1931 2114 2354 2492 2670 2918 3080 3372 3664 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-27 - 2016-06-02 1926 2052 2346 2524 2771 2924 3080 3295 3437 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-28 - 2016-06-03 1926 2052 2483 2582 2829 2896 3047 3204 3522 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-29 - 2016-06-04 1920 2019 2483 2589 2807 2883 2980 3129 3522 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-30 - 2016-06-05 1840 2026 2490 2598 2678 2817 2980 3207 3524 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-31 - 2016-06-06 1809 2243 2530 2640 2771 2916 2977 3312 3473 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-01 - 2016-06-07 1914 2254 2351 2721 2807 2943 3056 3413 3524 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-02 - 2016-06-08 1914 2308 2351 2721 2812 2949 3042 3396 3524 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-03 - 2016-06-09 1914 2308 2351 2628 2812 2925 3135 3396 3524 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-04 - 2016-06-10 1853 2265 2309 2341 2710 2871 3068 3387 3545 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-05 - 2016-06-11 1871 2060 2187 2311 2388 2813 2955 3398 3755 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-06 - 2016-06-12 1776 2007 2104 2287 2379 2760 2935 3398 3755 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-07 - 2016-06-13 1776 1922 2115 2300 2363 2760 2895 3398 3755 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-08 - 2016-06-14 1776 1904 2049 2307 2325 2406 2774 3398 3755 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-09 - 2016-06-15 1754 1926 2043 2226 2325 2462 2784 3359 3953 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-10 - 2016-06-16 1637 1985 2042 2143 2310 2415 2752 3353 3933 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-11 - 2016-06-17 1885 1926 2052 2192 2310 2406 2764 3309 3845 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-12 - 2016-06-18 1623 1916 2011 2231 2318 2480 2787 3085 3446 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-13 - 2016-06-19 1607 1828 2011 2231 2318 2441 2752 3118 3383 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-14 - 2016-06-20 1539 1728 1933 2110 2317 2578 2674 2974 3282 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-15 - 2016-06-21 1324 1889 1933 2108 2290 2578 2726 2879 3201 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-16 - 2016-06-22 1246 1842 1963 2049 2222 2456 2660 2879 3186 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-17 - 2016-06-23 1215 1716 1893 1970 2103 2453 2657 2811 3183 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-18 - 2016-06-24 1209 1672 1852 1964 2171 2366 2657 2848 3190 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-19 - 2016-06-25 1132 1551 1787 1961 2147 2347 2660 2882 3195 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-20 - 2016-06-26 1043 1522 1782 1975 2141 2257 2660 2772 3089 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-21 - 2016-06-27 1001 1442 1742 1989 2120 2176 2495 2683 3089 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-22 - 2016-06-28 955 1404 1645 1942 2141 2278 2444 2665 3149 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-23 - 2016-06-29 892 1212 1541 1831 2141 2196 2291 2588 3137 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-24 - 2016-06-30 850 1110 1493 1774 2114 2148 2196 2564 3135 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-25 - 2016-07-01 824 1084 1543 1614 1908 2113 2184 2564 3096 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-26 - 2016-07-02 793 1070 1524 1594 1738 2113 2184 2564 2860 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-27 - 2016-07-03 764 1057 1435 1574 1608 1909 2233 2417 3099 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-28 - 2016-07-04 737 1039 1356 1500 1596 1845 2219 2389 3099 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-29 - 2016-07-05 712 985 1209 1424 1592 1815 1930 2242 2899 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-30 - 2016-07-06 688 877 1124 1370 1581 1727 1930 2219 2587 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-01 - 2016-07-07 665 824 1043 1211 1517 1704 1905 2125 2412 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-02 - 2016-07-08 695 780 968 1087 1248 1462 1878 2110 2895 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-03 - 2016-07-09 659 749 922 970 1106 1352 1782 2046 2788 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-04 - 2016-07-10 627 720 891 948 1049 1257 1618 2007 2912 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-05 - 2016-07-11 605 695 859 912 975 1246 1641 2047 2912 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-06 - 2016-07-12 586 672 820 888 950 1227 1626 1940 2912 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-07 - 2016-07-13 572 690 786 854 921 1208 1465 2253 2912 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-08 - 2016-07-14 556 679 759 824 902 1246 1560 2253 2912 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-09 - 2016-07-15 540 662 733 782 840 1190 1560 2239 2594 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-10 - 2016-07-16 526 645 709 744 810 1163 1560 1820 2594 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-11 - 2016-07-17 512 627 691 714 783 1079 1450 1729 2567 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-12 - 2016-07-18 498 607 678 692 756 1018 1223 1599 2427 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-13 - 2016-07-19 486 589 656 680 731 995 1112 1397 2270 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-14 - 2016-07-20 473 532 623 647 702 863 1067 1261 2059 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-15 - 2016-07-21 460 513 595 621 680 828 1046 1261 1802 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-16 - 2016-07-22 448 499 577 602 658 798 969 1072 1808 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-17 - 2016-07-23 438 486 569 610 662 806 1034 1306 1802 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-18 - 2016-07-24 428 474 553 592 649 789 973 1301 1777 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-19 - 2016-07-25 419 462 537 575 629 806 1012 1278 1777 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-20 - 2016-07-26 422 479 536 583 686 803 1002 1380 1789 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-21 - 2016-07-27 412 466 521 567 664 790 888 1514 1959 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-22 - 2016-07-28 425 471 515 554 643 807 879 1393 1959 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-23 - 2016-07-29 416 458 506 539 727 817 1025 1348 1959 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-24 - 2016-07-30 412 480 517 596 768 810 963 1537 1959 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-25 - 2016-07-31 403 467 511 562 694 828 1050 1212 1945 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-26 - 2016-08-01 395 464 498 561 715 902 1073 1345 2072 CFSD Please feel free to contact the forecaster at greg.smith@noaa.gov Issued by: G.Smith NNNN $$