SLCESGCO COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECASTCENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UTAH May 16, 2016 Seasonal outlook for maximum flows: ANIMAS - DURANGO Comments: # ESP Forecast Information # # Analysis Period: 2016-05-16 - 2016-08-01 (MST) # Forecast Parameters: River Discharge # Forecast Interval: 2016-05-16 - 2016-08-01 (MST) # Forecast Point: ANIMAS - DURANGO Daily Peak -- Seasonal Maximum # # ANIMAS - DURANGO # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 2848 3004 3237 3719 4030 CFSD Number of Days to Peak from: 2016-05-16 # # ANIMAS - DURANGO # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 14 16 23 31 40 DAYS Number of Days Above: 2500 cfs # # ANIMAS - DURANGO # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 4 9 12 15 24 DAYS 1-week Seasonal Peak Flow Max Highlight: # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Interval: 2016-06-01 - 2016-06-07 2204 2539 3008 3393 3954 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-02 - 2016-06-08 2215 2599 3056 3484 3907 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-03 - 2016-06-09 2215 2528 3104 3454 3733 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-04 - 2016-06-10 2083 2367 3056 3454 3690 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-05 - 2016-06-11 1890 2434 2987 3236 3690 CFSD 1-week Seasonal Peak Flow: # ESP Forecast Information # # Analysis Period: 2016-05-16 - 2016-08-01 (MST) # Forecast Parameters: River River Flow (Mean Daily) - (CFSD) # Forecast Interval: 1 week # Forecast Point: ANIMAS - DURANGO # # ANIMAS - DURANGO # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Interval: 2016-05-16 - 2016-05-22 2429 2429 2429 2429 2483 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-17 - 2016-05-23 2429 2429 2429 2539 2814 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-18 - 2016-05-24 2147 2210 2306 2539 2814 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-19 - 2016-05-25 2147 2210 2296 2539 2814 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-20 - 2016-05-26 2148 2232 2320 2597 2814 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-21 - 2016-05-27 2148 2232 2320 2597 2849 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-22 - 2016-05-28 2158 2238 2341 2655 2849 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-23 - 2016-05-29 2158 2288 2446 2860 2978 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-24 - 2016-05-30 2192 2330 2507 2860 3280 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-25 - 2016-05-31 1861 2254 2566 2925 3280 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-26 - 2016-06-01 1887 2254 2678 3051 3591 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-27 - 2016-06-02 1962 2254 2678 3105 3870 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-28 - 2016-06-03 1994 2254 2742 3155 3954 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-29 - 2016-06-04 2086 2272 2765 3220 3954 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-30 - 2016-06-05 2167 2360 2760 3269 3954 CFSD # Interval: 2016-05-31 - 2016-06-06 2170 2524 2874 3289 3954 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-01 - 2016-06-07 2204 2539 3008 3393 3954 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-02 - 2016-06-08 2215 2599 3056 3484 3907 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-03 - 2016-06-09 2215 2528 3104 3454 3733 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-04 - 2016-06-10 2083 2367 3056 3454 3690 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-05 - 2016-06-11 1890 2434 2987 3236 3690 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-06 - 2016-06-12 1845 2389 2934 3236 3690 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-07 - 2016-06-13 1946 2389 2938 3225 3690 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-08 - 2016-06-14 1960 2387 2736 3225 3690 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-09 - 2016-06-15 1960 2496 2832 3225 3660 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-10 - 2016-06-16 2026 2425 2851 3137 3655 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-11 - 2016-06-17 2097 2517 2819 3081 3408 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-12 - 2016-06-18 2103 2559 2786 3023 3178 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-13 - 2016-06-19 2089 2497 2716 2973 3115 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-14 - 2016-06-20 2050 2312 2766 2982 3082 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-15 - 2016-06-21 2019 2321 2766 2976 3093 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-16 - 2016-06-22 2017 2310 2687 2973 3115 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-17 - 2016-06-23 1934 2184 2641 2860 3115 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-18 - 2016-06-24 1897 2097 2598 2865 3197 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-19 - 2016-06-25 1823 2045 2490 2857 3197 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-20 - 2016-06-26 1767 2070 2405 2821 3192 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-21 - 2016-06-27 1644 2070 2396 2675 3270 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-22 - 2016-06-28 1569 2010 2337 2654 3271 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-23 - 2016-06-29 1387 1851 2278 2625 3271 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-24 - 2016-06-30 1282 1779 2221 2589 3232 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-25 - 2016-07-01 1357 1791 2130 2571 3208 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-26 - 2016-07-02 1357 1742 2137 2383 2959 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-27 - 2016-07-03 1337 1629 2025 2388 2917 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-28 - 2016-07-04 1306 1596 1909 2360 2800 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-29 - 2016-07-05 1128 1566 1892 2249 2800 CFSD # Interval: 2016-06-30 - 2016-07-06 1011 1550 1885 2243 2668 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-01 - 2016-07-07 943 1357 1799 2181 2431 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-02 - 2016-07-08 900 1224 1707 2096 2332 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-03 - 2016-07-09 857 1114 1536 1917 2308 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-04 - 2016-07-10 822 1058 1431 1801 2441 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-05 - 2016-07-11 791 1017 1354 1941 2550 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-06 - 2016-07-12 762 976 1280 1880 2548 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-07 - 2016-07-13 736 892 1248 1941 2591 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-08 - 2016-07-14 712 853 1165 2017 2594 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-09 - 2016-07-15 688 820 1079 2000 2542 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-10 - 2016-07-16 666 791 1006 1941 2542 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-11 - 2016-07-17 645 775 955 1667 2542 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-12 - 2016-07-18 625 755 915 1570 2365 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-13 - 2016-07-19 606 730 924 1334 2034 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-14 - 2016-07-20 588 706 896 1087 2034 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-15 - 2016-07-21 571 683 834 1068 1976 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-16 - 2016-07-22 555 661 802 1099 1860 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-17 - 2016-07-23 540 682 806 1255 1846 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-18 - 2016-07-24 525 658 804 1112 1593 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-19 - 2016-07-25 511 637 782 1099 1670 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-20 - 2016-07-26 502 632 777 1121 1585 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-21 - 2016-07-27 489 612 724 1099 1959 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-22 - 2016-07-28 477 609 711 1067 1891 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-23 - 2016-07-29 465 597 698 1209 1809 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-24 - 2016-07-30 498 607 715 1209 1824 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-25 - 2016-07-31 485 596 656 1118 1824 CFSD # Interval: 2016-07-26 - 2016-08-01 473 567 660 1166 1983 CFSD Please feel free to contact the forecaster at greg.smith@noaa.gov Issued by: G.Smith NNNN $$