ZCZC SLCESPSTR CSW
TTAA00 KSTR DDHHMM
:National Weather Service, Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, SLC, Utah

:February mid-month Forecast      February 16, 2021

"product_issuance=mid-month"
.B SLC 210801 M DH24/DC2102161800/DVM06/QCVFEZ5
:FLOOD CONTROL RESERVOIR UNREGULATED INFLOW FORECASTS
:1 February through 31 July 2021 (units:: 1000's Acre-Feet)
:Reservoir            Most
:ID   Name            Probable
LKSA3:Lake Mead      :    4629
GLDA3:Lake Powell    :    4220
NVRN5:Navajo         :     501
BMDC2:Blue Mesa Res  :     540
GRNU1:Flaming Gorge  :     642
.END
:
:Other Reservoir Unregulated Inflow Forecasts
:
:OBSERVED MONTHLY INFLOW VOLUMES PROVIDED BY THE BUREAU OF RECLAMATION
:
.B SLC 210228 M DH24/DC2102161800/QCMFEZ5/DRE+1/QCMFEZ5/DRE+2/QCMFEZ5
.B1 DY210801/DVM04/QCVFEZ5
:                               Obs        jan    Forecast       Outlook
:                     oct  nov  dec  jan  %Avg   feb   mar   apr apr-jul %Avg
GLDA3:Lake Powell      92  261  168  198   55%:  220/  400/  500/ 3600/:  50%
GBRW4:Fontenelle       32   33   27   25   82%:   24/   39/   60/  460/:  63%
GRNU1:Flaming Gorge    26   36   24   31   77%:   32/   75/   90/  535/:  55%
BMDC2:Blue Mesa        20   25   21   22   90%:   20/   30/   56/  490/:  73%
MPSC2:Morrow Point     21   27   24   23   87%:   22/   33/   64/  530/:  72%
CLSC2:Crystal          23   29   27   25   80%:   24/   38/   72/  590/:  71%
TPIC2:Taylor Park     4.2  4.1  3.9  3.7   87%:  3.2/  3.3/  6.0/   75/:  76%
VCRC2:Vallecito       2.6  3.4  2.7  2.9   54%:  2.8/  3.7/   10/  120/:  62%
NVRN5:Navajo          6.3 16.9  9.8 11.7   53%:   14/   37/   75/  450/:  61%
LEMC2:Lemon          0.36 0.53 0.43 0.44   50%:  0.4/  0.7/  2.5/   32/:  58%
MPHC2:McPhee         1.49  4.3 1.33 1.77   39%:  2.4/  6.5/ 30.0/  157/:  53%
RBSC2:Ridgway         3.2  3.9  3.2  2.7   68%:  2.7/  4.4/  7.0/   63/:  62%
YDLC2:Deerlodge      13.5   21   22   20   80%:   18/   48/  125/  810/:  65%
DRGC2:Durango         7.7  8.7  6.7  6.6   50%:  6.0/ 10.0/ 23.0/  230/:  55%
:
.END
:
:Other
:
:OBSERVED MONTHLY INFLOW VOLUMES PROVIDED BY THE BUREAU OF RECLAMATION
:
.B SLC 210228 M DH24/DC2102161800/QCMFEZ5/DRE+1/QCMFEZ5/DRE+2/QCMFEZ5
.B1 DY210701/DVM04/QCVFEZ5
:                               Obs        jan    Forecast       Outlook
:                     oct  nov  dec  jan  %Avg   feb   mar   apr mar-jun %Avg
PRSC2:Paonia         0.54 0.18 0.40 0.81   42%:  0.7/  1.9/  7.0/   42/:  44%
:
.END

: MAY-JULY MONTHLY FORECAST BREAKDOWN
:                     may  jun  jul  

:GLDA3:Lake Powell   1000 1580  520
:GBRW4:Fontenelle      90  195  115
:GRNU1:Flaming Gorge  110  215  120
:BMDC2:Blue Mesa      145  210   79
:MPSC2:Morrow Point   160  225   81
:CLSC2:Crystal        180  250   88
:TPIC2:Taylor Park     21   34   14
:VCRC2:Vallecito       42   50   18
:NVRN5:Navajo         175  165   35 
:LEMC2:Lemon         12.5 13.0  4.0
:MPHC2:McPhee          70   47   10 
:RBSC2:Ridgway         16   26   14
:YDLC2:Deerlodge      310  325   50
:DRGC2:Durango         76   95   36
:PRSC2:Paonia          20   13    2

                       PRECIPITATION SUMMARY - % OF AVERAGE BY MONTH - WY 2021
RIVER BASIN:             OCT  NOV  DEC  JAN
GREEN
   ABV FLAMING GORGE      50  100   75   65
   ABV GRN RVR,UT (TOT)   40   80   70   65
COLORADO
   ABV  GRAND JUNCTION    50   75   75   55
   GUNNISON BASIN         30   95   85   65
   DOLORES BASIN          20   85   75   75
   ABV CISCO (TOTAL)      40   85   80   60
SAN JUAN
   ABV BLUFF (TOTAL)      35  100   80   80
ABV LAKE POWELL (TOTAL)   35   85   75   65
     
A.Nielson/C.Moser
CBRFC (801-524-5130)