Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 05 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-06,3814,Daily Model Output
2017-05-07,4956
2017-05-08,6194
2017-05-09,7302
2017-05-10,7994
2017-05-11,8458
2017-05-12,8336
2017-05-13,8065
2017-05-14,7828
2017-05-15,7687
2017-05-16,8230,ESP Model Output
2017-05-17,7954
2017-05-18,7971
2017-05-19,7621
2017-05-20,7525
2017-05-21,7879
2017-05-22,7876
2017-05-23,8277
2017-05-24,8126
2017-05-25,8457
2017-05-26,8813
2017-05-27,9622
2017-05-28,10172
2017-05-29,9532
2017-05-30,9719
2017-05-31,9790
2017-06-01,10271
2017-06-02,10706
2017-06-03,10266
2017-06-04,10206
2017-06-05,10224
2017-06-06,10364
2017-06-07,10672
2017-06-08,11494
2017-06-09,11528
2017-06-10,11584
2017-06-11,11182
2017-06-12,11275
2017-06-13,11283
2017-06-14,11844
2017-06-15,11294
2017-06-16,10935
2017-06-17,10488
2017-06-18,10389
2017-06-19,10097
2017-06-20,10485
2017-06-21,10644
2017-06-22,10421
2017-06-23,10121
2017-06-24,10164
2017-06-25,10680
2017-06-26,10282
2017-06-27,10107
2017-06-28,10035
2017-06-29,10365
2017-06-30,10404
2017-07-01,10035
2017-07-02,9709
2017-07-03,9419
2017-07-04,8814
2017-07-05,8271
2017-07-06,7816
2017-07-07,7565
2017-07-08,7512
2017-07-09,7763
2017-07-10,7636
2017-07-11,7326
2017-07-12,7276
2017-07-13,6972
2017-07-14,6631
2017-07-15,6336
2017-07-16,5956
2017-07-17,5644
2017-07-18,5538
2017-07-19,5432
2017-07-20,5217
2017-07-21,5004
2017-07-22,4895
2017-07-23,4589
2017-07-24,4440
2017-07-25,4410
2017-07-26,4232
2017-07-27,4089
2017-07-28,4083
2017-07-29,3832
2017-07-30,3622
2017-07-31,3467


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.