Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 06 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-07,4203,Daily Model Output
2017-05-08,5302
2017-05-09,6550
2017-05-10,7824
2017-05-11,8702
2017-05-12,8803
2017-05-13,8610
2017-05-14,8375
2017-05-15,8448
2017-05-16,8803
2017-05-17,8660,ESP Model Output
2017-05-18,8579
2017-05-19,8279
2017-05-20,8189
2017-05-21,8474
2017-05-22,8190
2017-05-23,8312
2017-05-24,8547
2017-05-25,8955
2017-05-26,9175
2017-05-27,9647
2017-05-28,10087
2017-05-29,9885
2017-05-30,9673
2017-05-31,10050
2017-06-01,10308
2017-06-02,10814
2017-06-03,10484
2017-06-04,10439
2017-06-05,10331
2017-06-06,10401
2017-06-07,10811
2017-06-08,11698
2017-06-09,11723
2017-06-10,11489
2017-06-11,11301
2017-06-12,11325
2017-06-13,11500
2017-06-14,11873
2017-06-15,11368
2017-06-16,11015
2017-06-17,10631
2017-06-18,10412
2017-06-19,10150
2017-06-20,10429
2017-06-21,10710
2017-06-22,10487
2017-06-23,10258
2017-06-24,10367
2017-06-25,10588
2017-06-26,10213
2017-06-27,10416
2017-06-28,10278
2017-06-29,10616
2017-06-30,10249
2017-07-01,10053
2017-07-02,9694
2017-07-03,9375
2017-07-04,9039
2017-07-05,8557
2017-07-06,8095
2017-07-07,7883
2017-07-08,7577
2017-07-09,7771
2017-07-10,7546
2017-07-11,7227
2017-07-12,7188
2017-07-13,7007
2017-07-14,6593
2017-07-15,6325
2017-07-16,5982
2017-07-17,5636
2017-07-18,5445
2017-07-19,5348
2017-07-20,5348
2017-07-21,5099
2017-07-22,4972
2017-07-23,4643
2017-07-24,4364
2017-07-25,4379
2017-07-26,4202
2017-07-27,4120
2017-07-28,3984
2017-07-29,3821
2017-07-30,3627
2017-07-31,3466


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.