Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 07 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-08,4994,Daily Model Output
2017-05-09,5986
2017-05-10,7008
2017-05-11,7723
2017-05-12,8043
2017-05-13,8107
2017-05-14,8244
2017-05-15,8505
2017-05-16,9039
2017-05-17,9429
2017-05-18,9030,ESP Model Output
2017-05-19,8721
2017-05-20,8757
2017-05-21,8685
2017-05-22,8550
2017-05-23,8314
2017-05-24,8649
2017-05-25,9078
2017-05-26,9323
2017-05-27,9539
2017-05-28,9847
2017-05-29,9781
2017-05-30,9710
2017-05-31,10079
2017-06-01,10100
2017-06-02,10671
2017-06-03,10319
2017-06-04,10265
2017-06-05,10025
2017-06-06,10300
2017-06-07,10657
2017-06-08,11480
2017-06-09,11496
2017-06-10,11214
2017-06-11,11015
2017-06-12,11163
2017-06-13,11317
2017-06-14,11702
2017-06-15,11168
2017-06-16,10807
2017-06-17,10272
2017-06-18,10390
2017-06-19,9875
2017-06-20,10229
2017-06-21,10364
2017-06-22,10271
2017-06-23,9978
2017-06-24,10104
2017-06-25,10099
2017-06-26,10130
2017-06-27,10172
2017-06-28,10249
2017-06-29,10519
2017-06-30,10033
2017-07-01,9632
2017-07-02,9567
2017-07-03,9394
2017-07-04,8859
2017-07-05,8530
2017-07-06,8243
2017-07-07,7969
2017-07-08,7657
2017-07-09,7447
2017-07-10,7242
2017-07-11,7006
2017-07-12,6829
2017-07-13,6682
2017-07-14,6319
2017-07-15,6138
2017-07-16,5838
2017-07-17,5418
2017-07-18,5300
2017-07-19,5206
2017-07-20,5229
2017-07-21,4992
2017-07-22,4857
2017-07-23,4468
2017-07-24,4238
2017-07-25,4264
2017-07-26,4122
2017-07-27,3981
2017-07-28,3901
2017-07-29,3693
2017-07-30,3504
2017-07-31,3390


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.