Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 08 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-09,5720,Daily Model Output
2017-05-10,6385
2017-05-11,7120
2017-05-12,7226
2017-05-13,7267
2017-05-14,7535
2017-05-15,7906
2017-05-16,8450
2017-05-17,8755
2017-05-18,8452
2017-05-19,9561,ESP Model Output
2017-05-20,9262
2017-05-21,9138
2017-05-22,9041
2017-05-23,8820
2017-05-24,8794
2017-05-25,9422
2017-05-26,9798
2017-05-27,9625
2017-05-28,10124
2017-05-29,9639
2017-05-30,9877
2017-05-31,10185
2017-06-01,10174
2017-06-02,10434
2017-06-03,10352
2017-06-04,10186
2017-06-05,10084
2017-06-06,10371
2017-06-07,10709
2017-06-08,11269
2017-06-09,11257
2017-06-10,11209
2017-06-11,10724
2017-06-12,11140
2017-06-13,11074
2017-06-14,11390
2017-06-15,11116
2017-06-16,10506
2017-06-17,10350
2017-06-18,10386
2017-06-19,9870
2017-06-20,9979
2017-06-21,10317
2017-06-22,10034
2017-06-23,10003
2017-06-24,9950
2017-06-25,10102
2017-06-26,10255
2017-06-27,10278
2017-06-28,10031
2017-06-29,10210
2017-06-30,9956
2017-07-01,9559
2017-07-02,9315
2017-07-03,9510
2017-07-04,8797
2017-07-05,8519
2017-07-06,8235
2017-07-07,7960
2017-07-08,7571
2017-07-09,7330
2017-07-10,7091
2017-07-11,6851
2017-07-12,6701
2017-07-13,6497
2017-07-14,6179
2017-07-15,5940
2017-07-16,5881
2017-07-17,5438
2017-07-18,5284
2017-07-19,5193
2017-07-20,5100
2017-07-21,4932
2017-07-22,4702
2017-07-23,4531
2017-07-24,4270
2017-07-25,4169
2017-07-26,4004
2017-07-27,3873
2017-07-28,3802
2017-07-29,3610
2017-07-30,3422
2017-07-31,3302


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.