Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 09 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-10,6452,Daily Model Output (20170509)
2017-05-11,7405
2017-05-12,7553
2017-05-13,7350
2017-05-14,7355
2017-05-15,7917
2017-05-16,8626
2017-05-17,8743
2017-05-18,8023
2017-05-19,7266
2017-05-20,7656,ESP Model Output (20170508)
2017-05-21,6969
2017-05-22,6737
2017-05-23,7062
2017-05-24,7487
2017-05-25,8130
2017-05-26,8606
2017-05-27,8626
2017-05-28,9241
2017-05-29,8788
2017-05-30,9317
2017-05-31,9670
2017-06-01,9601
2017-06-02,10017
2017-06-03,9983
2017-06-04,9771
2017-06-05,9690
2017-06-06,10134
2017-06-07,10513
2017-06-08,11198
2017-06-09,11265
2017-06-10,11272
2017-06-11,10772
2017-06-12,11022
2017-06-13,10974
2017-06-14,11390
2017-06-15,11084
2017-06-16,10664
2017-06-17,10555
2017-06-18,10454
2017-06-19,10084
2017-06-20,10211
2017-06-21,10600
2017-06-22,10446
2017-06-23,10385
2017-06-24,10354
2017-06-25,10347
2017-06-26,10607
2017-06-27,10825
2017-06-28,10447
2017-06-29,10463
2017-06-30,10252
2017-07-01,9946
2017-07-02,9658
2017-07-03,9925
2017-07-04,9189
2017-07-05,8900
2017-07-06,8599
2017-07-07,8186
2017-07-08,7732
2017-07-09,7474
2017-07-10,7363
2017-07-11,7125
2017-07-12,7059
2017-07-13,6728
2017-07-14,6416
2017-07-15,6169
2017-07-16,6053
2017-07-17,5673
2017-07-18,5494
2017-07-19,5309
2017-07-20,5286
2017-07-21,5033
2017-07-22,4871
2017-07-23,4639
2017-07-24,4454
2017-07-25,4223
2017-07-26,4067
2017-07-27,3961
2017-07-28,3908
2017-07-29,3673
2017-07-30,3543
2017-07-31,3411


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.