Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 10 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-11,7921,Daily Model Output (20170510)
2017-05-12,8362
2017-05-13,8222
2017-05-14,8003
2017-05-15,8156
2017-05-16,8448
2017-05-17,8187
2017-05-18,6896
2017-05-19,5788
2017-05-20,5322
2017-05-21,7518,ESP Model Output (20170509)
2017-05-22,7771
2017-05-23,8355
2017-05-24,8574
2017-05-25,8915
2017-05-26,8669
2017-05-27,8875
2017-05-28,9372
2017-05-29,9129
2017-05-30,9593
2017-05-31,9953
2017-06-01,9930
2017-06-02,10138
2017-06-03,10029
2017-06-04,9938
2017-06-05,9736
2017-06-06,10134
2017-06-07,10536
2017-06-08,11198
2017-06-09,11234
2017-06-10,11259
2017-06-11,10635
2017-06-12,10765
2017-06-13,10811
2017-06-14,11255
2017-06-15,10916
2017-06-16,10525
2017-06-17,10394
2017-06-18,10413
2017-06-19,9886
2017-06-20,10086
2017-06-21,10443
2017-06-22,10295
2017-06-23,10236
2017-06-24,10113
2017-06-25,10227
2017-06-26,10450
2017-06-27,10509
2017-06-28,10169
2017-06-29,10156
2017-06-30,10025
2017-07-01,9811
2017-07-02,9543
2017-07-03,9678
2017-07-04,9149
2017-07-05,8591
2017-07-06,8300
2017-07-07,7855
2017-07-08,7456
2017-07-09,7317
2017-07-10,7193
2017-07-11,7012
2017-07-12,6760
2017-07-13,6584
2017-07-14,6281
2017-07-15,6015
2017-07-16,5764
2017-07-17,5528
2017-07-18,5372
2017-07-19,5241
2017-07-20,5119
2017-07-21,4918
2017-07-22,4760
2017-07-23,4488
2017-07-24,4288
2017-07-25,4099
2017-07-26,3937
2017-07-27,3897
2017-07-28,3750
2017-07-29,3570
2017-07-30,3456
2017-07-31,3312


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.