Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 11 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-12,8459,Daily Model Output (20170511)
2017-05-13,8387
2017-05-14,8137
2017-05-15,8283
2017-05-16,8525
2017-05-17,8383
2017-05-18,7361
2017-05-19,6457
2017-05-20,5980
2017-05-21,5750
2017-05-22,5963,ESP Model Output (20170510)
2017-05-23,6716
2017-05-24,7321
2017-05-25,7934
2017-05-26,7938
2017-05-27,8543
2017-05-28,8969
2017-05-29,8815
2017-05-30,8986
2017-05-31,9514
2017-06-01,9630
2017-06-02,9766
2017-06-03,9784
2017-06-04,9702
2017-06-05,9506
2017-06-06,9972
2017-06-07,10403
2017-06-08,11143
2017-06-09,11367
2017-06-10,11353
2017-06-11,10654
2017-06-12,10794
2017-06-13,11028
2017-06-14,11363
2017-06-15,11033
2017-06-16,10851
2017-06-17,10794
2017-06-18,10653
2017-06-19,10244
2017-06-20,10462
2017-06-21,10789
2017-06-22,10667
2017-06-23,10617
2017-06-24,10762
2017-06-25,10802
2017-06-26,10801
2017-06-27,10845
2017-06-28,10673
2017-06-29,10732
2017-06-30,10691
2017-07-01,10473
2017-07-02,10112
2017-07-03,10146
2017-07-04,9650
2017-07-05,9171
2017-07-06,8636
2017-07-07,8267
2017-07-08,7904
2017-07-09,7755
2017-07-10,7612
2017-07-11,7404
2017-07-12,7007
2017-07-13,6937
2017-07-14,6556
2017-07-15,6293
2017-07-16,6040
2017-07-17,5852
2017-07-18,5666
2017-07-19,5572
2017-07-20,5459
2017-07-21,5271
2017-07-22,5062
2017-07-23,4670
2017-07-24,4544
2017-07-25,4282
2017-07-26,4096
2017-07-27,4074
2017-07-28,4039
2017-07-29,3711
2017-07-30,3613
2017-07-31,3518


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.