Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 12 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-13,9169,Daily Model Output (20170512)
2017-05-14,9176
2017-05-15,9226
2017-05-16,9363
2017-05-17,9087
2017-05-18,7966
2017-05-19,7277
2017-05-20,6595
2017-05-21,5568
2017-05-22,4601
2017-05-23,6513,ESP Model Output (20170511)
2017-05-24,6777
2017-05-25,7141
2017-05-26,7675
2017-05-27,8165
2017-05-28,8738
2017-05-29,8742
2017-05-30,8616
2017-05-31,9185
2017-06-01,9301
2017-06-02,9419
2017-06-03,9507
2017-06-04,9484
2017-06-05,9471
2017-06-06,9801
2017-06-07,10360
2017-06-08,11097
2017-06-09,11251
2017-06-10,11220
2017-06-11,10607
2017-06-12,10600
2017-06-13,10827
2017-06-14,11244
2017-06-15,10899
2017-06-16,10763
2017-06-17,10697
2017-06-18,10477
2017-06-19,10145
2017-06-20,10457
2017-06-21,10647
2017-06-22,10609
2017-06-23,10572
2017-06-24,10756
2017-06-25,10762
2017-06-26,10586
2017-06-27,10616
2017-06-28,10464
2017-06-29,10509
2017-06-30,10446
2017-07-01,10029
2017-07-02,10179
2017-07-03,10025
2017-07-04,9625
2017-07-05,9013
2017-07-06,8544
2017-07-07,8211
2017-07-08,7839
2017-07-09,7762
2017-07-10,7499
2017-07-11,7296
2017-07-12,6844
2017-07-13,6807
2017-07-14,6517
2017-07-15,6206
2017-07-16,5955
2017-07-17,5932
2017-07-18,5745
2017-07-19,5600
2017-07-20,5497
2017-07-21,5254
2017-07-22,4997
2017-07-23,4665
2017-07-24,4414
2017-07-25,4180
2017-07-26,4136
2017-07-27,4108
2017-07-28,3985
2017-07-29,3807
2017-07-30,3550
2017-07-31,3508


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.