Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 13 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-14,9591,Daily Model Output (20170513)
2017-05-15,9617
2017-05-16,9261
2017-05-17,8601
2017-05-18,7714
2017-05-19,7448
2017-05-20,7304
2017-05-21,6486
2017-05-22,5282
2017-05-23,4409
2017-05-24,3961,ESP Model Output (20170512)
2017-05-25,4247
2017-05-26,4941
2017-05-27,5959
2017-05-28,6629
2017-05-29,6961
2017-05-30,6891
2017-05-31,6866
2017-06-01,7075
2017-06-02,7387
2017-06-03,7760
2017-06-04,7797
2017-06-05,7817
2017-06-06,8130
2017-06-07,8649
2017-06-08,9250
2017-06-09,9368
2017-06-10,9584
2017-06-11,8982
2017-06-12,8930
2017-06-13,9532
2017-06-14,9731
2017-06-15,9476
2017-06-16,9630
2017-06-17,9305
2017-06-18,9368
2017-06-19,9312
2017-06-20,9377
2017-06-21,9729
2017-06-22,10079
2017-06-23,9801
2017-06-24,9894
2017-06-25,10148
2017-06-26,9923
2017-06-27,10034
2017-06-28,9941
2017-06-29,10053
2017-06-30,10073
2017-07-01,9851
2017-07-02,10170
2017-07-03,9798
2017-07-04,9564
2017-07-05,9158
2017-07-06,8997
2017-07-07,8958
2017-07-08,8387
2017-07-09,8153
2017-07-10,8038
2017-07-11,7917
2017-07-12,7632
2017-07-13,7409
2017-07-14,7318
2017-07-15,6922
2017-07-16,6624
2017-07-17,6417
2017-07-18,6435
2017-07-19,6185
2017-07-20,6032
2017-07-21,5819
2017-07-22,5593
2017-07-23,5359
2017-07-24,5097
2017-07-25,4899
2017-07-26,4697
2017-07-27,4645
2017-07-28,4412
2017-07-29,4246
2017-07-30,4256
2017-07-31,4055


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.