Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 14 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-15,10242,Daily Model Output (20170514)
2017-05-16,10154
2017-05-17,9618
2017-05-18,8692
2017-05-19,7698
2017-05-20,7242
2017-05-21,6258
2017-05-22,5295
2017-05-23,4494
2017-05-24,4109
2017-05-25,4566,ESP Model Output (20170513)
2017-05-26,5190
2017-05-27,5969
2017-05-28,6939
2017-05-29,7044
2017-05-30,7012
2017-05-31,7257
2017-06-01,7546
2017-06-02,7510
2017-06-03,7687
2017-06-04,7957
2017-06-05,8036
2017-06-06,8336
2017-06-07,8951
2017-06-08,9477
2017-06-09,9725
2017-06-10,9916
2017-06-11,9321
2017-06-12,9296
2017-06-13,9870
2017-06-14,10065
2017-06-15,9813
2017-06-16,9857
2017-06-17,9620
2017-06-18,9740
2017-06-19,9682
2017-06-20,9696
2017-06-21,10179
2017-06-22,10375
2017-06-23,10143
2017-06-24,10060
2017-06-25,10536
2017-06-26,10172
2017-06-27,10263
2017-06-28,10355
2017-06-29,10286
2017-06-30,10465
2017-07-01,10210
2017-07-02,10401
2017-07-03,9991
2017-07-04,9917
2017-07-05,9376
2017-07-06,9159
2017-07-07,9020
2017-07-08,8714
2017-07-09,8430
2017-07-10,8340
2017-07-11,8212
2017-07-12,7781
2017-07-13,7775
2017-07-14,7571
2017-07-15,7154
2017-07-16,6843
2017-07-17,6611
2017-07-18,6587
2017-07-19,6391
2017-07-20,6227
2017-07-21,5988
2017-07-22,5695
2017-07-23,5589
2017-07-24,5350
2017-07-25,5141
2017-07-26,4917
2017-07-27,4778
2017-07-28,4578
2017-07-29,4491
2017-07-30,4412
2017-07-31,4214


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.