Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 15 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-16,10268,Daily Model Output (20170515)
2017-05-17,9484
2017-05-18,8549
2017-05-19,7516
2017-05-20,6749
2017-05-21,5865
2017-05-22,5252
2017-05-23,4567
2017-05-24,4312
2017-05-25,4734
2017-05-26,5314,ESP Model Output (20170514)
2017-05-27,5981
2017-05-28,6936
2017-05-29,7609
2017-05-30,7918
2017-05-31,8068
2017-06-01,8034
2017-06-02,7847
2017-06-03,7879
2017-06-04,8176
2017-06-05,8230
2017-06-06,8646
2017-06-07,9187
2017-06-08,9467
2017-06-09,9799
2017-06-10,10057
2017-06-11,9673
2017-06-12,9391
2017-06-13,9978
2017-06-14,10137
2017-06-15,9874
2017-06-16,9848
2017-06-17,9633
2017-06-18,9824
2017-06-19,9675
2017-06-20,9625
2017-06-21,10087
2017-06-22,10242
2017-06-23,9985
2017-06-24,10074
2017-06-25,10566
2017-06-26,10168
2017-06-27,10066
2017-06-28,10233
2017-06-29,10249
2017-06-30,10154
2017-07-01,10123
2017-07-02,10002
2017-07-03,9975
2017-07-04,9762
2017-07-05,9247
2017-07-06,8953
2017-07-07,8889
2017-07-08,8582
2017-07-09,8375
2017-07-10,8341
2017-07-11,8128
2017-07-12,7662
2017-07-13,7671
2017-07-14,7377
2017-07-15,6979
2017-07-16,6813
2017-07-17,6606
2017-07-18,6510
2017-07-19,6425
2017-07-20,6206
2017-07-21,5898
2017-07-22,5653
2017-07-23,5604
2017-07-24,5330
2017-07-25,5122
2017-07-26,4886
2017-07-27,4685
2017-07-28,4572
2017-07-29,4488
2017-07-30,4408
2017-07-31,4213


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.