Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 16 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-17,10054,Daily Model Output (20170516)
2017-05-18,9092
2017-05-19,8100
2017-05-20,7319
2017-05-21,6225
2017-05-22,5227
2017-05-23,4452
2017-05-24,4327
2017-05-25,4878
2017-05-26,5828
2017-05-27,7226,ESP Model Output (20170515)
2017-05-28,8051
2017-05-29,8880
2017-05-30,9331
2017-05-31,9514
2017-06-01,9785
2017-06-02,9759
2017-06-03,9321
2017-06-04,9614
2017-06-05,9817
2017-06-06,10556
2017-06-07,10974
2017-06-08,11555
2017-06-09,11870
2017-06-10,12201
2017-06-11,11454
2017-06-12,11458
2017-06-13,11961
2017-06-14,12070
2017-06-15,11810
2017-06-16,11959
2017-06-17,11783
2017-06-18,11627
2017-06-19,11393
2017-06-20,11470
2017-06-21,11805
2017-06-22,11759
2017-06-23,11564
2017-06-24,11711
2017-06-25,11901
2017-06-26,11715
2017-06-27,11559
2017-06-28,11527
2017-06-29,11368
2017-06-30,11251
2017-07-01,10879
2017-07-02,10865
2017-07-03,10850
2017-07-04,10453
2017-07-05,9820
2017-07-06,9338
2017-07-07,9119
2017-07-08,8803
2017-07-09,8646
2017-07-10,8416
2017-07-11,8166
2017-07-12,7750
2017-07-13,7633
2017-07-14,7343
2017-07-15,6949
2017-07-16,6529
2017-07-17,6516
2017-07-18,6275
2017-07-19,6217
2017-07-20,5995
2017-07-21,5806
2017-07-22,5514
2017-07-23,5282
2017-07-24,4996
2017-07-25,4772
2017-07-26,4549
2017-07-27,4481
2017-07-28,4369
2017-07-29,4277
2017-07-30,4040
2017-07-31,3997


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.