Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 17 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-18,9264,Daily Model Output (20170517)
2017-05-19,8069
2017-05-20,7122
2017-05-21,5953
2017-05-22,4856
2017-05-23,4202
2017-05-24,4136
2017-05-25,4608
2017-05-26,5452
2017-05-27,6353
2017-05-28,7667,ESP Model Output (20170516)
2017-05-29,8433
2017-05-30,9146
2017-05-31,9543
2017-06-01,9655
2017-06-02,9590
2017-06-03,9187
2017-06-04,9379
2017-06-05,9802
2017-06-06,10373
2017-06-07,10769
2017-06-08,11361
2017-06-09,11688
2017-06-10,12039
2017-06-11,11526
2017-06-12,11374
2017-06-13,11740
2017-06-14,11974
2017-06-15,11678
2017-06-16,11671
2017-06-17,11613
2017-06-18,11500
2017-06-19,11183
2017-06-20,11357
2017-06-21,11575
2017-06-22,11699
2017-06-23,11262
2017-06-24,11508
2017-06-25,11747
2017-06-26,11619
2017-06-27,11363
2017-06-28,11549
2017-06-29,11253
2017-06-30,11253
2017-07-01,10495
2017-07-02,10714
2017-07-03,10604
2017-07-04,10143
2017-07-05,9702
2017-07-06,9135
2017-07-07,8956
2017-07-08,8741
2017-07-09,8557
2017-07-10,8458
2017-07-11,8129
2017-07-12,7537
2017-07-13,7500
2017-07-14,7238
2017-07-15,6830
2017-07-16,6534
2017-07-17,6574
2017-07-18,6176
2017-07-19,6092
2017-07-20,5854
2017-07-21,5642
2017-07-22,5426
2017-07-23,5147
2017-07-24,5026
2017-07-25,4749
2017-07-26,4579
2017-07-27,4414
2017-07-28,4366
2017-07-29,4200
2017-07-30,3965
2017-07-31,3997


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.