Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 18 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-19,8451,Daily Model Output (20170518)
2017-05-20,7308
2017-05-21,5949
2017-05-22,4862
2017-05-23,4211
2017-05-24,4138
2017-05-25,4800
2017-05-26,5821
2017-05-27,7062
2017-05-28,8221
2017-05-29,8131,ESP Model Output (20170517)
2017-05-30,8992
2017-05-31,9875
2017-06-01,9977
2017-06-02,9766
2017-06-03,9568
2017-06-04,9613
2017-06-05,9846
2017-06-06,10352
2017-06-07,10568
2017-06-08,11041
2017-06-09,11562
2017-06-10,11962
2017-06-11,11622
2017-06-12,11349
2017-06-13,11485
2017-06-14,11946
2017-06-15,11629
2017-06-16,11657
2017-06-17,11547
2017-06-18,11419
2017-06-19,11130
2017-06-20,11223
2017-06-21,11464
2017-06-22,11586
2017-06-23,11187
2017-06-24,11337
2017-06-25,11559
2017-06-26,11354
2017-06-27,11214
2017-06-28,11467
2017-06-29,11179
2017-06-30,10961
2017-07-01,10444
2017-07-02,10380
2017-07-03,10378
2017-07-04,10016
2017-07-05,9527
2017-07-06,8933
2017-07-07,8806
2017-07-08,8524
2017-07-09,8481
2017-07-10,8263
2017-07-11,7950
2017-07-12,7471
2017-07-13,7407
2017-07-14,7206
2017-07-15,6887
2017-07-16,6526
2017-07-17,6315
2017-07-18,6022
2017-07-19,5929
2017-07-20,5727
2017-07-21,5512
2017-07-22,5278
2017-07-23,5017
2017-07-24,4837
2017-07-25,4573
2017-07-26,4584
2017-07-27,4369
2017-07-28,4232
2017-07-29,4109
2017-07-30,3866
2017-07-31,3816


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.