Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 19 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-20,7661,Daily Model Output (20170519)
2017-05-21,6525
2017-05-22,5486
2017-05-23,4741
2017-05-24,4558
2017-05-25,4775
2017-05-26,5265
2017-05-27,6057
2017-05-28,7286
2017-05-29,9054
2017-05-30,9231,ESP Model Output (20170518)
2017-05-31,9453
2017-06-01,9661
2017-06-02,9886
2017-06-03,9939
2017-06-04,9921
2017-06-05,9791
2017-06-06,10351
2017-06-07,10527
2017-06-08,11028
2017-06-09,11457
2017-06-10,11991
2017-06-11,11616
2017-06-12,11386
2017-06-13,11401
2017-06-14,11978
2017-06-15,11656
2017-06-16,11660
2017-06-17,11567
2017-06-18,11281
2017-06-19,11174
2017-06-20,11179
2017-06-21,11406
2017-06-22,11608
2017-06-23,11475
2017-06-24,11408
2017-06-25,11355
2017-06-26,11219
2017-06-27,11165
2017-06-28,11328
2017-06-29,11286
2017-06-30,11145
2017-07-01,10425
2017-07-02,10302
2017-07-03,10296
2017-07-04,9791
2017-07-05,9397
2017-07-06,9006
2017-07-07,8743
2017-07-08,8562
2017-07-09,8463
2017-07-10,8122
2017-07-11,7772
2017-07-12,7303
2017-07-13,7265
2017-07-14,7261
2017-07-15,6948
2017-07-16,6475
2017-07-17,6076
2017-07-18,5821
2017-07-19,5730
2017-07-20,5648
2017-07-21,5433
2017-07-22,5098
2017-07-23,4965
2017-07-24,4652
2017-07-25,4532
2017-07-26,4688
2017-07-27,4352
2017-07-28,4217
2017-07-29,4035
2017-07-30,3798
2017-07-31,3604


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.