Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 20 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-21,6632,Daily Model Output (20170520)
2017-05-22,5552
2017-05-23,4775
2017-05-24,4471
2017-05-25,4612
2017-05-26,5307
2017-05-27,6472
2017-05-28,8012
2017-05-29,9325
2017-05-30,9625
2017-05-31,12019,ESP Model Output (20170519)
2017-06-01,12795
2017-06-02,13033
2017-06-03,12452
2017-06-04,11166
2017-06-05,11155
2017-06-06,11175
2017-06-07,11087
2017-06-08,11573
2017-06-09,11476
2017-06-10,12088
2017-06-11,11819
2017-06-12,11501
2017-06-13,11432
2017-06-14,11999
2017-06-15,11629
2017-06-16,11611
2017-06-17,11478
2017-06-18,11192
2017-06-19,11001
2017-06-20,10922
2017-06-21,11220
2017-06-22,11310
2017-06-23,11237
2017-06-24,10975
2017-06-25,10888
2017-06-26,10656
2017-06-27,10807
2017-06-28,10783
2017-06-29,10658
2017-06-30,10349
2017-07-01,10049
2017-07-02,9694
2017-07-03,9632
2017-07-04,9139
2017-07-05,8823
2017-07-06,8450
2017-07-07,8382
2017-07-08,8075
2017-07-09,7867
2017-07-10,7458
2017-07-11,7256
2017-07-12,6914
2017-07-13,6683
2017-07-14,6709
2017-07-15,6405
2017-07-16,6051
2017-07-17,5697
2017-07-18,5366
2017-07-19,5317
2017-07-20,5189
2017-07-21,4939
2017-07-22,4715
2017-07-23,4586
2017-07-24,4300
2017-07-25,4186
2017-07-26,4529
2017-07-27,4207
2017-07-28,4000
2017-07-29,3758
2017-07-30,3530
2017-07-31,3424


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.