Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 21 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-22,5753,Daily Model Output (20170521)
2017-05-23,5036
2017-05-24,4736
2017-05-25,4822
2017-05-26,5500
2017-05-27,6542
2017-05-28,7835
2017-05-29,8605
2017-05-30,8474
2017-05-31,8004
2017-06-01,9178,ESP Model Output (20170520)
2017-06-02,9123
2017-06-03,9700
2017-06-04,9577
2017-06-05,9385
2017-06-06,10303
2017-06-07,10485
2017-06-08,10984
2017-06-09,10894
2017-06-10,11585
2017-06-11,11337
2017-06-12,11165
2017-06-13,11232
2017-06-14,11769
2017-06-15,11378
2017-06-16,11523
2017-06-17,11373
2017-06-18,11046
2017-06-19,10996
2017-06-20,10928
2017-06-21,11245
2017-06-22,11652
2017-06-23,11327
2017-06-24,11099
2017-06-25,11007
2017-06-26,10823
2017-06-27,10849
2017-06-28,10998
2017-06-29,10940
2017-06-30,10712
2017-07-01,10349
2017-07-02,9979
2017-07-03,9949
2017-07-04,9452
2017-07-05,9148
2017-07-06,8771
2017-07-07,8641
2017-07-08,8404
2017-07-09,8219
2017-07-10,7664
2017-07-11,7427
2017-07-12,7000
2017-07-13,6812
2017-07-14,6863
2017-07-15,6555
2017-07-16,6307
2017-07-17,5924
2017-07-18,5583
2017-07-19,5417
2017-07-20,5311
2017-07-21,5078
2017-07-22,4820
2017-07-23,4656
2017-07-24,4365
2017-07-25,4239
2017-07-26,4626
2017-07-27,4288
2017-07-28,4084
2017-07-29,3984
2017-07-30,3704
2017-07-31,3550


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.