Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 22 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-23,5197,Daily Model Output (20170522)
2017-05-24,4909
2017-05-25,5126
2017-05-26,5889
2017-05-27,6730
2017-05-28,7824
2017-05-29,8474
2017-05-30,8329
2017-05-31,8014
2017-06-01,7677
2017-06-02,8158,ESP Model Output (20170521)
2017-06-03,8610
2017-06-04,9304
2017-06-05,9415
2017-06-06,9751
2017-06-07,10216
2017-06-08,10735
2017-06-09,10541
2017-06-10,11275
2017-06-11,11062
2017-06-12,11162
2017-06-13,11171
2017-06-14,11751
2017-06-15,11350
2017-06-16,11451
2017-06-17,11361
2017-06-18,10975
2017-06-19,11016
2017-06-20,10991
2017-06-21,11180
2017-06-22,11661
2017-06-23,11543
2017-06-24,11079
2017-06-25,11010
2017-06-26,10954
2017-06-27,10884
2017-06-28,11153
2017-06-29,10962
2017-06-30,10762
2017-07-01,10590
2017-07-02,10114
2017-07-03,10032
2017-07-04,9522
2017-07-05,9276
2017-07-06,8904
2017-07-07,8808
2017-07-08,8505
2017-07-09,8244
2017-07-10,7631
2017-07-11,7478
2017-07-12,7217
2017-07-13,6845
2017-07-14,6885
2017-07-15,6624
2017-07-16,6305
2017-07-17,6025
2017-07-18,5794
2017-07-19,5535
2017-07-20,5352
2017-07-21,5269
2017-07-22,5109
2017-07-23,4898
2017-07-24,4580
2017-07-25,4383
2017-07-26,4646
2017-07-27,4303
2017-07-28,4078
2017-07-29,4044
2017-07-30,3784
2017-07-31,3681


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.