Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 23 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-24,4935,Daily Model Output (20170523)
2017-05-25,4948
2017-05-26,5729
2017-05-27,6883
2017-05-28,8053
2017-05-29,8511
2017-05-30,7931
2017-05-31,7419
2017-06-01,7292
2017-06-02,7628
2017-06-03,8830,ESP Model Output (20170522)
2017-06-04,9661
2017-06-05,10913
2017-06-06,10997
2017-06-07,11266
2017-06-08,10724
2017-06-09,10794
2017-06-10,11096
2017-06-11,11205
2017-06-12,11446
2017-06-13,11308
2017-06-14,11923
2017-06-15,11505
2017-06-16,11554
2017-06-17,11417
2017-06-18,11079
2017-06-19,10997
2017-06-20,11009
2017-06-21,11220
2017-06-22,11559
2017-06-23,11460
2017-06-24,11041
2017-06-25,10928
2017-06-26,10841
2017-06-27,10784
2017-06-28,10985
2017-06-29,10994
2017-06-30,10724
2017-07-01,10594
2017-07-02,10109
2017-07-03,10107
2017-07-04,9550
2017-07-05,9106
2017-07-06,8905
2017-07-07,8645
2017-07-08,8364
2017-07-09,8068
2017-07-10,7638
2017-07-11,7334
2017-07-12,6898
2017-07-13,6800
2017-07-14,6753
2017-07-15,6407
2017-07-16,6242
2017-07-17,6114
2017-07-18,5800
2017-07-19,5620
2017-07-20,5367
2017-07-21,5274
2017-07-22,4963
2017-07-23,4867
2017-07-24,4650
2017-07-25,4413
2017-07-26,4560
2017-07-27,4251
2017-07-28,4061
2017-07-29,3988
2017-07-30,3728
2017-07-31,3690


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.