Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 24 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-25,4908,Daily Model Output (20170524)
2017-05-26,5524
2017-05-27,6578
2017-05-28,7499
2017-05-29,7633
2017-05-30,7126
2017-05-31,6847
2017-06-01,7134
2017-06-02,8114
2017-06-03,9474
2017-06-04,10061,ESP Model Output (20170523)
2017-06-05,11244
2017-06-06,11897
2017-06-07,11877
2017-06-08,11528
2017-06-09,11574
2017-06-10,11327
2017-06-11,11523
2017-06-12,11698
2017-06-13,11507
2017-06-14,12082
2017-06-15,11751
2017-06-16,11709
2017-06-17,11505
2017-06-18,11144
2017-06-19,11113
2017-06-20,11075
2017-06-21,11366
2017-06-22,11500
2017-06-23,11716
2017-06-24,11450
2017-06-25,11007
2017-06-26,10908
2017-06-27,10924
2017-06-28,11070
2017-06-29,10977
2017-06-30,10748
2017-07-01,10693
2017-07-02,10301
2017-07-03,10070
2017-07-04,9412
2017-07-05,9169
2017-07-06,8831
2017-07-07,8616
2017-07-08,8334
2017-07-09,8113
2017-07-10,7818
2017-07-11,7350
2017-07-12,7042
2017-07-13,6969
2017-07-14,6816
2017-07-15,6493
2017-07-16,6382
2017-07-17,6244
2017-07-18,5896
2017-07-19,5756
2017-07-20,5473
2017-07-21,5280
2017-07-22,4968
2017-07-23,4922
2017-07-24,4790
2017-07-25,4535
2017-07-26,4562
2017-07-27,4226
2017-07-28,4038
2017-07-29,4005
2017-07-30,3799
2017-07-31,3679


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.