Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 25 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-26,5460,Daily Model Output (20170525)
2017-05-27,6412
2017-05-28,7494
2017-05-29,7808
2017-05-30,7231
2017-05-31,6859
2017-06-01,7012
2017-06-02,8058
2017-06-03,9682
2017-06-04,11230
2017-06-05,12328,ESP Model Output (20170524)
2017-06-06,12974
2017-06-07,13147
2017-06-08,12827
2017-06-09,12427
2017-06-10,12055
2017-06-11,12058
2017-06-12,12021
2017-06-13,11643
2017-06-14,12100
2017-06-15,11887
2017-06-16,11711
2017-06-17,11143
2017-06-18,11098
2017-06-19,11111
2017-06-20,11014
2017-06-21,11322
2017-06-22,11331
2017-06-23,11522
2017-06-24,10910
2017-06-25,10879
2017-06-26,10742
2017-06-27,10677
2017-06-28,10757
2017-06-29,10581
2017-06-30,10300
2017-07-01,10346
2017-07-02,9937
2017-07-03,9764
2017-07-04,9125
2017-07-05,8975
2017-07-06,8532
2017-07-07,8369
2017-07-08,7986
2017-07-09,7717
2017-07-10,7458
2017-07-11,7050
2017-07-12,6740
2017-07-13,6547
2017-07-14,6487
2017-07-15,6247
2017-07-16,5987
2017-07-17,6024
2017-07-18,5706
2017-07-19,5555
2017-07-20,5329
2017-07-21,5095
2017-07-22,4795
2017-07-23,4714
2017-07-24,4585
2017-07-25,4347
2017-07-26,4354
2017-07-27,4114
2017-07-28,3927
2017-07-29,3758
2017-07-30,3653
2017-07-31,3468


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.