Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 26 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-27,6387,Daily Model Output (20170526)
2017-05-28,7300
2017-05-29,7703
2017-05-30,7186
2017-05-31,6725
2017-06-01,6955
2017-06-02,8260
2017-06-03,10084
2017-06-04,11528
2017-06-05,12616
2017-06-06,13212,ESP Model Output (20170525)
2017-06-07,13327
2017-06-08,13366
2017-06-09,13041
2017-06-10,12433
2017-06-11,12213
2017-06-12,12402
2017-06-13,11660
2017-06-14,12206
2017-06-15,11960
2017-06-16,11838
2017-06-17,11375
2017-06-18,11214
2017-06-19,11186
2017-06-20,10944
2017-06-21,11331
2017-06-22,11317
2017-06-23,11487
2017-06-24,10986
2017-06-25,10908
2017-06-26,10783
2017-06-27,10686
2017-06-28,10868
2017-06-29,10674
2017-06-30,10331
2017-07-01,10190
2017-07-02,10035
2017-07-03,9771
2017-07-04,9213
2017-07-05,8953
2017-07-06,8505
2017-07-07,8367
2017-07-08,7991
2017-07-09,7695
2017-07-10,7471
2017-07-11,7094
2017-07-12,6648
2017-07-13,6563
2017-07-14,6473
2017-07-15,6271
2017-07-16,5918
2017-07-17,5924
2017-07-18,5751
2017-07-19,5579
2017-07-20,5352
2017-07-21,5042
2017-07-22,4764
2017-07-23,4675
2017-07-24,4504
2017-07-25,4377
2017-07-26,4294
2017-07-27,4107
2017-07-28,3937
2017-07-29,3779
2017-07-30,3693
2017-07-31,3506


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.