Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 27 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-28,6893,Daily Model Output (20170527)
2017-05-29,7114
2017-05-30,6768
2017-05-31,6229
2017-06-01,6533
2017-06-02,7902
2017-06-03,9755
2017-06-04,11364
2017-06-05,12632
2017-06-06,13402
2017-06-07,14078,ESP Model Output (20170526)
2017-06-08,14613
2017-06-09,14949
2017-06-10,14398
2017-06-11,13284
2017-06-12,12354
2017-06-13,12066
2017-06-14,12497
2017-06-15,12096
2017-06-16,11847
2017-06-17,11462
2017-06-18,11276
2017-06-19,11257
2017-06-20,10964
2017-06-21,11328
2017-06-22,11271
2017-06-23,11339
2017-06-24,10959
2017-06-25,10844
2017-06-26,10605
2017-06-27,10575
2017-06-28,10543
2017-06-29,10428
2017-06-30,10325
2017-07-01,10062
2017-07-02,9911
2017-07-03,9350
2017-07-04,9241
2017-07-05,8785
2017-07-06,8416
2017-07-07,8006
2017-07-08,7687
2017-07-09,7444
2017-07-10,7135
2017-07-11,6829
2017-07-12,6477
2017-07-13,6332
2017-07-14,6283
2017-07-15,6046
2017-07-16,5877
2017-07-17,5715
2017-07-18,5533
2017-07-19,5285
2017-07-20,5109
2017-07-21,4814
2017-07-22,4629
2017-07-23,4287
2017-07-24,4105
2017-07-25,3993
2017-07-26,4103
2017-07-27,3899
2017-07-28,3618
2017-07-29,3636
2017-07-30,3516
2017-07-31,3461


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.