Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 28 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-29,6520,Daily Model Output (20170528)
2017-05-30,6115
2017-05-31,6026
2017-06-01,6356
2017-06-02,7798
2017-06-03,9826
2017-06-04,11522
2017-06-05,12734
2017-06-06,13350
2017-06-07,13674
2017-06-08,14692,ESP Model Output (20170527)
2017-06-09,14974
2017-06-10,14645
2017-06-11,13876
2017-06-12,12822
2017-06-13,12537
2017-06-14,12708
2017-06-15,12016
2017-06-16,11815
2017-06-17,11487
2017-06-18,11247
2017-06-19,11154
2017-06-20,10851
2017-06-21,11081
2017-06-22,11089
2017-06-23,11192
2017-06-24,10850
2017-06-25,10588
2017-06-26,10293
2017-06-27,10430
2017-06-28,10309
2017-06-29,10196
2017-06-30,10047
2017-07-01,9894
2017-07-02,9763
2017-07-03,9265
2017-07-04,8947
2017-07-05,8529
2017-07-06,8102
2017-07-07,7830
2017-07-08,7607
2017-07-09,7190
2017-07-10,6884
2017-07-11,6581
2017-07-12,6279
2017-07-13,6071
2017-07-14,6107
2017-07-15,5962
2017-07-16,5663
2017-07-17,5525
2017-07-18,5304
2017-07-19,5128
2017-07-20,4899
2017-07-21,4712
2017-07-22,4392
2017-07-23,4138
2017-07-24,3904
2017-07-25,3809
2017-07-26,3986
2017-07-27,3767
2017-07-28,3531
2017-07-29,3521
2017-07-30,3389
2017-07-31,3342


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.