Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 29 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-30,5931,Daily Model Output (20170529)
2017-05-31,5802
2017-06-01,6411
2017-06-02,7824
2017-06-03,9872
2017-06-04,11728
2017-06-05,12867
2017-06-06,13227
2017-06-07,13154
2017-06-08,13616
2017-06-09,14991,ESP Model Output (20170528)
2017-06-10,15216
2017-06-11,15109
2017-06-12,14205
2017-06-13,13330
2017-06-14,13197
2017-06-15,12336
2017-06-16,11866
2017-06-17,11533
2017-06-18,11396
2017-06-19,11112
2017-06-20,10832
2017-06-21,11058
2017-06-22,11039
2017-06-23,10926
2017-06-24,10822
2017-06-25,10554
2017-06-26,10172
2017-06-27,10153
2017-06-28,10151
2017-06-29,10135
2017-06-30,9776
2017-07-01,9753
2017-07-02,9722
2017-07-03,9104
2017-07-04,8676
2017-07-05,8407
2017-07-06,7996
2017-07-07,7768
2017-07-08,7346
2017-07-09,6997
2017-07-10,6693
2017-07-11,6468
2017-07-12,6186
2017-07-13,6033
2017-07-14,5935
2017-07-15,5799
2017-07-16,5480
2017-07-17,5343
2017-07-18,5118
2017-07-19,4925
2017-07-20,4722
2017-07-21,4515
2017-07-22,4280
2017-07-23,4112
2017-07-24,3887
2017-07-25,3764
2017-07-26,3872
2017-07-27,3659
2017-07-28,3498
2017-07-29,3421
2017-07-30,3290
2017-07-31,3277


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.