Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 30 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-05-31,6082,Daily Model Output (20170530)
2017-06-01,6590
2017-06-02,7875
2017-06-03,9510
2017-06-04,11196
2017-06-05,12632
2017-06-06,13184
2017-06-07,13108
2017-06-08,13334
2017-06-09,13745
2017-06-10,14764,ESP Model Output (20170529)
2017-06-11,14525
2017-06-12,14329
2017-06-13,13463
2017-06-14,12873
2017-06-15,12010
2017-06-16,12027
2017-06-17,11350
2017-06-18,11439
2017-06-19,11028
2017-06-20,10881
2017-06-21,11031
2017-06-22,10822
2017-06-23,11076
2017-06-24,10824
2017-06-25,10601
2017-06-26,10136
2017-06-27,10135
2017-06-28,10016
2017-06-29,10158
2017-06-30,9752
2017-07-01,9813
2017-07-02,9582
2017-07-03,8959
2017-07-04,8785
2017-07-05,8432
2017-07-06,8112
2017-07-07,7802
2017-07-08,7312
2017-07-09,7225
2017-07-10,6717
2017-07-11,6481
2017-07-12,6212
2017-07-13,6104
2017-07-14,5982
2017-07-15,5853
2017-07-16,5473
2017-07-17,5296
2017-07-18,5107
2017-07-19,4987
2017-07-20,4695
2017-07-21,4514
2017-07-22,4265
2017-07-23,4072
2017-07-24,3956
2017-07-25,3755
2017-07-26,3813
2017-07-27,3604
2017-07-28,3447
2017-07-29,3332
2017-07-30,3296
2017-07-31,3203


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.