Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 31 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-01,6518,Daily Model Output (20170531)
2017-06-02,7603
2017-06-03,9269
2017-06-04,10899
2017-06-05,12391
2017-06-06,13320
2017-06-07,13993
2017-06-08,15076
2017-06-09,15614
2017-06-10,15251
2017-06-11,13974,ESP Model Output (20170530)
2017-06-12,13753
2017-06-13,13716
2017-06-14,12977
2017-06-15,12505
2017-06-16,12049
2017-06-17,11585
2017-06-18,11481
2017-06-19,11027
2017-06-20,10848
2017-06-21,10992
2017-06-22,10839
2017-06-23,10936
2017-06-24,10813
2017-06-25,10575
2017-06-26,10045
2017-06-27,10013
2017-06-28,10081
2017-06-29,9908
2017-06-30,9718
2017-07-01,9646
2017-07-02,9393
2017-07-03,8772
2017-07-04,8648
2017-07-05,8421
2017-07-06,8184
2017-07-07,7763
2017-07-08,7259
2017-07-09,7099
2017-07-10,6805
2017-07-11,6472
2017-07-12,6166
2017-07-13,6150
2017-07-14,5802
2017-07-15,5592
2017-07-16,5435
2017-07-17,5247
2017-07-18,5062
2017-07-19,4833
2017-07-20,4671
2017-07-21,4512
2017-07-22,4093
2017-07-23,3958
2017-07-24,3855
2017-07-25,3765
2017-07-26,3705
2017-07-27,3504
2017-07-28,3393
2017-07-29,3294
2017-07-30,3240
2017-07-31,3164


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.