Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 02 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-03,8113,Daily Model Output (20170602)
2017-06-04,9255
2017-06-05,10490
2017-06-06,11495
2017-06-07,12463
2017-06-08,13816
2017-06-09,14944
2017-06-10,15314
2017-06-11,15687
2017-06-12,15858
2017-06-13,16423,ESP Model Output (20170601)
2017-06-14,15984
2017-06-15,15175
2017-06-16,14258
2017-06-17,13025
2017-06-18,12499
2017-06-19,11620
2017-06-20,11007
2017-06-21,11101
2017-06-22,10657
2017-06-23,10440
2017-06-24,10466
2017-06-25,10086
2017-06-26,9657
2017-06-27,9429
2017-06-28,9561
2017-06-29,9378
2017-06-30,9174
2017-07-01,8856
2017-07-02,8602
2017-07-03,8343
2017-07-04,8026
2017-07-05,7847
2017-07-06,7375
2017-07-07,6969
2017-07-08,6751
2017-07-09,6474
2017-07-10,6180
2017-07-11,5887
2017-07-12,5595
2017-07-13,5456
2017-07-14,5211
2017-07-15,5075
2017-07-16,4951
2017-07-17,4745
2017-07-18,4528
2017-07-19,4280
2017-07-20,4253
2017-07-21,4160
2017-07-22,3872
2017-07-23,3530
2017-07-24,3480
2017-07-25,3435
2017-07-26,3296
2017-07-27,3156
2017-07-28,3139
2017-07-29,3031
2017-07-30,2897
2017-07-31,2921


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.