Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 03 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-04,9317,Daily Model Output (20170603)
2017-06-05,10689
2017-06-06,11826
2017-06-07,12889
2017-06-08,14154
2017-06-09,15224
2017-06-10,15694
2017-06-11,16305
2017-06-12,16544
2017-06-13,16259
2017-06-14,16407,ESP Model Output (20170602)
2017-06-15,15208
2017-06-16,14138
2017-06-17,13371
2017-06-18,12514
2017-06-19,11646
2017-06-20,11267
2017-06-21,11273
2017-06-22,10736
2017-06-23,10382
2017-06-24,10583
2017-06-25,10118
2017-06-26,9718
2017-06-27,9448
2017-06-28,9588
2017-06-29,9452
2017-06-30,9215
2017-07-01,8911
2017-07-02,8581
2017-07-03,8320
2017-07-04,8109
2017-07-05,7854
2017-07-06,7399
2017-07-07,7096
2017-07-08,6791
2017-07-09,6494
2017-07-10,6222
2017-07-11,5946
2017-07-12,5650
2017-07-13,5392
2017-07-14,5265
2017-07-15,5121
2017-07-16,4974
2017-07-17,4776
2017-07-18,4521
2017-07-19,4350
2017-07-20,4301
2017-07-21,4130
2017-07-22,3919
2017-07-23,3567
2017-07-24,3430
2017-07-25,3464
2017-07-26,3337
2017-07-27,3190
2017-07-28,3193
2017-07-29,3074
2017-07-30,2937
2017-07-31,2921


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.