Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 04 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology

DATE,TOTAL,
2017-06-05,10533,Daily Model Output (20170604)
2017-06-06,11894
2017-06-07,12688
2017-06-08,13623
2017-06-09,14746
2017-06-10,15487
2017-06-11,16110
2017-06-12,16414
2017-06-13,15836
2017-06-14,14460
2017-06-15,15335,ESP Model Output (20170603)
2017-06-16,14033
2017-06-17,13065
2017-06-18,12295
2017-06-19,11654
2017-06-20,11310
2017-06-21,10902
2017-06-22,10649
2017-06-23,10272
2017-06-24,10430
2017-06-25,9864
2017-06-26,9603
2017-06-27,9378
2017-06-28,9328
2017-06-29,9332
2017-06-30,8937
2017-07-01,8687
2017-07-02,8365
2017-07-03,8269
2017-07-04,7844
2017-07-05,7670
2017-07-06,7340
2017-07-07,6939
2017-07-08,6600
2017-07-09,6381
2017-07-10,6160
2017-07-11,5820
2017-07-12,5533
2017-07-13,5315
2017-07-14,5159
2017-07-15,5033
2017-07-16,4908
2017-07-17,4663
2017-07-18,4392
2017-07-19,4192
2017-07-20,4107
2017-07-21,4010
2017-07-22,3806
2017-07-23,3475
2017-07-24,3368
2017-07-25,3380
2017-07-26,3311
2017-07-27,3126
2017-07-28,3176
2017-07-29,3058
2017-07-30,2902
2017-07-31,2854


SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
  - Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
    5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
    forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
    weather forecast changes, so there is increasing uncertainty
    past days 3-5.
  - Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
    This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
    period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
    value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
    the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
  - An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
    daily model to the ESP model, some possible reasons are:
      - The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
        much above or below normal before reverting to normal
        temperatures in ESP.
      - If there is regulation (reservoirs, diversions, etc.) above the
        forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
        how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
        for details on specific forecast points.